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The Line Goes Up (the Creek without a paddle) – Fat Tail Daily
Investing in the market is tricky right now. Euphoria is mainstream. Artificial intelligence (AI) has become the biggest market force we’ve seen since the dot-com craze. Stocks are flying. Even if you want to guard against it, the world of passive investing is bringing everyone along for the ride. As they say, if you’re ‘up…
Guesstimates on May 8, 2025
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Final Look at Local Housing Markets in April and a Look Ahead to May Sales
by Calculated Risk on 5/26/2025 12:44:00 PM Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: Final Look at Local Housing Markets in April and a Look Ahead to May Sales A brief excerpt: After the National Association of Realtors® (NAR) releases the monthly existing home sales report, I pick up additional local market data that…
Forget GICs: This Dividend Stock Pays 10× the Income
For years, guaranteed investment certificates (GIC) have been the go-to comfort blanket for cautious investors. These are safe, predictable, and insulated from market swings. But the world’s shifting again, and suddenly, that comfort might come at too high a cost. With interest rates likely past their peak and inflation still eating away at fixed returns,…
Stellantis to rejoin ACEA auto manufacturers association By Reuters
MILAN (Reuters) -Stellantis on Friday said it planned to rejoin European auto lobby ACEA (BIT:), which it had left at the beginning of 2023, in a move that might flag a more cautious stance for the automaker on its electrification plans. “Stellantis (NYSE:), Europe’s second largest carmaker, confirms that it intends to apply for membership…
Don’t Trust the Curve: How to Spot Trading Bots That Will Fail Live
You’ve probably seen it: A bot with a flawless equity curve, 99% win rate, and zero drawdown.You run a backtest, and it looks unstoppable.So you put it live… and within days, it starts losing money. What happened? This is the backtest trap — and it’s one of the most dangerous patterns in automated trading. In…