Asia FX steady at start of 2026; dollar dips amid Fed easing bets

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MUFG’s Asia FX team keeps a constructive stance on the Singapore Dollar (SGD), arguing that a firm Chinese Yuan and resilient domestic growth should underpin SGD. With Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) maintaining its Nominal Effective Exchange Rate Index (S$NEER) policy settings and Singapore’s Q4 GDP likely to be revised higher. SGD benefits from CNY…

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Blue Owl permanently restricted withdrawals from its $1.6bn private-debt fund, selling $1.4bn of loans at 99.7% of par and planning a 30% NAV distribution in Q1. El-Erian questioned whether it’s an early warning sign for private credit, though not a 2008-scale threat. Summary: $1.6bn Blue Owl Capital Corp. II fund permanently restricts investor withdrawals. Blue…