The European Central Bank (ECB) kept its deposit rate unchanged at 2.00% on Thursday for a fourth consecutive meeting, maintaining its pause in the easing cycle that saw eight rate cuts between June 2024 and June 2025. The unanimous decision came as the ECB upgraded its economic growth forecasts and projected inflation to stabilize around…
The Bank of England (BOE) cut its Bank Rate by 25 basis points to 3.75% at its December meeting, delivering the sixth rate reduction since August 2024. However, the decision proved far more contentious than markets anticipated, with the Monetary Policy Committee voting 5-4 in favor of the cut, revealing deep divisions about the path…
U.S. headline CPI eased from 3.0% to 2.7% year-on-year in November versus expectations of an uptick to 3.1%. However, analysts took the numbers with a grain of salt since the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) did not collect any data from October due to the government shutdown. Key Takeaways Headline CPI rose 2.7% year-over-year in…
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Interest Rate check. Data: 🟦 [RATES] Global sovereign yields remained volatile but broadly elevated, as markets digested central-bank signals and persistent long-end pressure. U.S. 10Y Treasury hovered near ~4.17%, while the U.S. 30Y stayed around ~4.82–4.84%, keeping duration-sensitive assets under strain. UK 10Y Gilts eased slightly toward ~4.47%, reflecting growing confidence in a BoE rate…
The U.S. dollar experienced mostly choppy and mixed trading on Thursday, posting a slightly bullish lean during Asian hours before turning decisively lower through London and US sessions, ultimately closing as a net loser against most major currencies. During the Asian session, the dollar traded with an arguably net bullish lean, possibly reflecting cautious positioning…
Another Interest Rate Cut by the Bank of Mexico December 18, 2025 A cycle of a thirteen interest rate cuts by the Bank of Mexico began a year and a half ago from a peak of 11.25%, with five initial reductions of 25 basis points, then four larger 50-basis point moves and after than a…
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The evening session wraps up soon with National CPI figures from Japan releasing promptly. Market expectations are for the National CPI YoY to remain steady at 3%. This inflation report tends to move markets less than the Tokyo CPI FYI. But the most important event of the Evening largely remains the Bank of Japan (BoJ)…
It does not matter the Bank of Japan will raise rates to a 30-year high. It also unlikely to cause a violent unwiding of the carry trade as was the case in August 2024? Why? First of all, Friday’s 25-bp hike in the overnight rate to 0.75% is widely anticipated and will not be a…