US-Iran ceasefire odds drop sharply amid airstrikes and threats: 2% for April 7
US and Israeli airstrikes targeted Iranian sites, and Iran threatened a UAE data center. The US-Iran ceasefire by April 7 market is at 1.8% YES, down from 8% yesterday. This escalation has impacted prediction markets. The US-Iran ceasefire by April 15 market dropped to 8.5% YES from 18% in 24 hours. The April 30 market…