Japan’s intervention risk is back in sharp focus after PM Takaichi warned on Sunday against speculative moves, following a violent yen reversal and rate-check chatter late Friday. Summary: Japan PM Sanae Takaichi warned officials stand ready to act against “speculative and highly abnormal” market moves as the yen weakens and bond yields rise. The remarks…
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Relentless geopolitics has continued to haunt global markets since the turn of the year, and last week offered little respite. What has changed, however, is not the scale of the headlines but the market’s tolerance for them. Investors appear increasingly fatigued by policy uncertainty and abrupt reversals from the US, where confidence has become harder…
The GBP/USD weekly forecast turns strongly bullish as the dollar loses traction amid geopolitics. The upbeat UK CPI, retail sales, and PMI data provided adequate support to the pair. Markets await the FOMC rate decision and press conference next week. GBPUSD ended last week with sterling fundamentals improving, but price action still leaned heavily on…
The EUR/USD weekly forecast edges higher amid geopolitical risk and Fed worries, as the US dollar weakened. Easing US-EU trade war concerns outweighed the upbeat US Q3 GDP and unemployment claims data. Coming week, the markets await the FOMC rate decision with major focus on the press conference. The EURUSD price was driven far more…
Highlights include FOMC, BoC, Riksbank, EZ GDP, Tokyo CPI. Federal Reserve Interest Rates Mon: Australian Holiday (Australia Day), German Ifo (Jan). Tue: Chinese Industrial Profits (Dec), US Richmond Fed (Jan), US Consumer Confidence (Jan). Wed: Fed Policy Announcement, BoC Policy Announcement, BCB Policy Announcement, Australia CPI (Q4), German GfK (Feb), NZ Trade (Dec). Thu:…
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EUR/USD’s strong rally and break of 1.1807 confirms that rise from 1.1467 is resuming. Also, corrective pattern from 1.197 could have completed with three waves to 1.1576. Initial bias stays on the upside this week for retesting 1.1917. Firm break there will resume larger up trend. On the downside, below 1.1727 minor support will mix…
USD/JPY’s steep decline and break of 156.10 support last week confirms that a short term top was at least formed at 159.44. Considering bearish divergence condition in D MACD, price actions from there should be correcting whole five-wave up trend from 139.87. Initial bias is now on the downside this week for 38.2% retracement of…
GBP/JPY’s rise from 1.3008 resumed last week by breaking through 1.3567 short term top decisively. Initial bias stays on the upside this week for retesting 1.3787 high. Firm break there will confirm larger up trend resumption. On the downside, below 1.3536 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral. But retreat should be contained well above…