Swing Trading: The Definitive 2024 Guide - Daily Price Action

Swing Trading: The Definitive 2024 Guide – Daily Price Action


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Today I’m going to show you step-by-step how to profit from swing trading.

It’s a simple strategy I’ve used for years and works in various markets, including forex and crypto.

BONUS: Download a free PDF cheat sheet that shows you step-by-step how to swing trade, including setting entry points, targets, and stop losses. Plus, get my daily newsletter with exclusive Forex trade setups and strategies.

So if you’re ready to level up your trading game this year, stick around to the end.

Let’s begin!

Trading Styles vs. Strategies

Before we move on, it’s important to know the difference between styles and strategies.

As I mentioned above, there are far fewer trading styles than there are strategies.

Here are a few of the most popular styles:

  • Swing trading
  • Day trading
  • Scalping (often a subset of day trading)
  • Position trading
  • High-frequency trading

Within each of these, there are hundreds if not thousands of strategies.

In other words, there are many different ways to day trade just as there are many ways to swing trade.

It’s up to each trader to make the style his or her own.

For instance, one day trader may use the 3 and 8 exponential moving averages combined with slow stochastics.

Another trader of the same style may use a 5 and 10 simple moving average with a relative strength index.

Both are considered day traders, but their strategies are different.

The same goes for swing trading.

The endless number of indicators and methods means that no two traders are exactly alike.

That’s especially true once you add human psychology as a variable.

In summary, trading styles define broad groups of market participants, while strategies are specific to each trader.

What is Swing Trading?

Here’s a quick video example to kick things off.

As the name implies, swing trading is an attempt to profit from the swings in the market.

These swings are made up of two parts—the body and the swing point.

GBPUSD daily chart with swing points and swing bodies

As traders, it’s our job to time our entries in a way that catches the majority of each swing body.

While catching a swing point can be incredibly lucrative, it isn’t absolutely necessary.

In fact, attempting to catch the extreme tops and bottoms of swings can lead to an increase in losses.

The best way to approach these trades is to stay patient and wait for a price action buy or sell signal.

I’ll get into those various strategies shortly.

For now, just know that the swing body is the most lucrative part of any market move.

Later in this lesson, I will also show you a way to use those swing points to evaluate momentum.

The Best Strategy for Swing Trading

Step 1: Use the Daily Time Frame

I spend most of my time on the daily charts.

They offer a bigger picture of what’s happening with the price action and provide more reliable signals.

However, not all daily time frames are created equal.

I use a specific type of chart that uses a New York close.

Each 24-hour session closes at 5 pm EST, which is considered the Forex market’s unofficial closing time.

It is possible to use the 4-hour charts for swing trading, but I’ve found that the daily works best.

My suggestion is to start with the daily time frame.

Once you become profitable using the daily chart, feel free to move to the 4-hour time frame.

As a general rule, price action signals become more reliable as you move from the lower time frames to higher ones.

Step 2: Draw Key Support and Resistance Levels

Apart from Step 1, this is the most important piece of the entire process.

Think of drawing key support and resistance levels as building the foundation for your house.

It’s impossible to identify favorable swing trades without them.

Before I show you some examples using swing trades, let’s define the two types of levels.

Horizontal support and resistance

These are the most basic levels you want on your charts.

They provide a great foundation for trading swings in the market and offer some of the best target areas.

If you want to know how to draw support and resistance levels, see this post.

Trend lines

Not all technical traders use trend lines.

If I’m being honest, I have no idea why someone would ignore them, especially a swing trader.

They not only offer you a way to identify entries with the trend, but they can also be used to spot reversals before they happen.

Be sure to review the lesson I wrote on trend strength (see link above).

It will explain everything you need to know to use trend lines in this manner.

Step 3: Evaluate Momentum

At this point, you should be on the daily time frame and have all relevant support and resistance areas marked.

Remember how I mentioned using swing points to evaluate momentum earlier in the post?

Well, this is where those swing highs and lows come in handy.

There are three types of market momentum or lack thereof.

  1. Uptrend: Higher highs and higher lows
  2. Downtrend: Lower highs and lower lows
  3. Range: Sideways movement

A market that’s in an uptrend is carving higher highs and higher lows.

EURUSD higher highs and higher lows

Notice how each swing point is higher than the last.

You want to be a buyer during bullish momentum such as this.

On the opposite end of the spectrum we have a downtrend.

In this case, the market is carving lower highs and lower lows.

AUDUSD lower highs and lower lows

You want to be a seller here.

The “swing” above is the heart of the swing trading strategy discussed here.

We’ll get into the various price action signals in the next step.

Last but not least is a ranging market.

As the name implies, this occurs when a market moves sideways within a range.

AUDUSD ranging market on daily time frame

Although the chart above has no bullish or bearish momentum, it can still generate lucrative swing trades.

In fact, ranges such as the one above can often produce some of the best trades.

This is mostly due to the way that support and resistance levels stand out from the surrounding price action.

Just look at the two pin bars in the chart below.

Bullish and bearish pin bars

Step 4: Watch for Price Action Signals

Let’s review where you should be at this point in your swing trading journey.

Steps 1 and 2 showed you how to identify key support and resistance levels using the daily time frame.

Then in Step 3, you learned to evaluate the market’s momentum.

This tells you whether the market is in an uptrend, a downtrend or range-bound.

If the market is in an uptrend, you want to begin watching for buy signals from key support.

My two favorite candlestick patterns are the pin bar and engulfing bar.

You can learn more about both of these signals in this post.

Here is a great example of a bullish pin bar that occurred at key support during an uptrend.

GBPUSD bullish pin bar at key support level

The goal is to use this pin bar signal to buy the market.

By doing this, we can profit as the market swings upward and continues the current rally.

On the flip side, if the market is in a downtrend, you want to watch for sell signals from resistance.

AUDNZD bearish pin bar at key resistance level

Again, we use a signal like the pin bar to identify the swing high, also called the swing point.

You might not catch the entire swing, and that’s okay.

The idea is to catch as much of it as possible, but waiting for confirming price action is crucial.

When looking for setups, be sure to scan your charts.

Don’t make the mistake of searching for setups.

Those two actions may sound similar but they are far from it.

Scanning for setups is more of a qualitative process.

In other words, you’re scanning for the very best setups and if you don’t find anything, that’s okay.

Most traders feel like they need to find a setup each time they sit down in front of their computer.

This is called searching for setups.

So remember to scan for swing trade opportunities; never go searching for them.

Step 5: Identify Profit Targets and Stop Loss Levels

There are two rules when it comes to identifying exit points.

The first rule is to define a profit target and a stop loss level.

Many traders make the mistake of only identifying a target and forget about their stop loss.

Don’t make that mistake.

In order to calculate your risk as explained in the next step, you must have a stop loss level defined.

The second rule is to identify both of these levels before risking capital.

This is the only time you have a completely neutral bias.

As soon as you have money at risk, that neutral stance goes out the window.

It then becomes far too easy to place your exit points at levels that benefit your trade, rather than basing them on what the market is telling you.

So what’s the best way to identify your exit points?

Simple.

Just use the support and resistance levels you identified in Step 2.

Remember that bullish pin bar on the GBPUSD? (See Step 4 if you need a refresher.)

Here is a simple way to determine a profit target.

Daily bullish pin bar at key support

In this case, the GBPUSD rallied past our target, and that’s okay.

Remember that the goal is to catch the majority of the swing.

We don’t need to catch the entire move to make a profit.

We can do the same thing with the AUDNZD bearish pin bar from Step 4.

Sell setup on daily chart with profit target

Remember, those horizontal areas and trend lines are your foundation.

Once they are on your chart, use them to your advantage.

That involves watching for entries as well as determining exit points.

See this lesson to find out how I set and manage stop loss orders.

Step 6: Calculate and Manage Risk

Once you have identified your exit points for the trade, it’s time for some risk management.

Before I discuss how to identify stop loss levels and profit targets, I want to share two important concepts.

The first is R-multiples.

This is a way to calculate your risk using a single number.

For instance, a setup with a 100 pip stop loss and a 300 pip target is 3R.

Similarly, if your risk is $100 and you stand to make $500, the risk to reward ratio is 5R.

The second concept I want to discuss is asymmetry.

A favorable risk to reward ratio is one where the payoff is at least twice the potential loss.

Written as an R-multiple, that would be 2R or greater.

You can learn about both of these concepts in greater detail in this post.

When calculating the risk of any trade, the first thing you want to do is determine where you should place the stop loss.

For a pin bar, the best location is above or below the tail.

The same goes for a bullish or bearish engulfing pattern.

A stop loss that’s approximately 10 to 20 pips above or below the candlestick being traded is a good place to start.

Now that you have the stop loss placement identified, it’s time to determine the profit target.

This is where those key levels come into play once more.

Remember that when swing trading the goal is to catch the swings that occur between support and resistance levels.

So if the market is trending higher and a bullish pin bar forms at support, ask yourself the following question.

Where is the next key resistance level?

The answer will not only tell you where to place your target, but will also determine whether a favorable risk to reward ratio is possible.

If it is, then you may have a valid buying opportunity in front of you.

If not, you may want to stay on the sideline.