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Speculator Extremes: Russell2000, VIX, USD Index & 5-Year Bonds lead Bullish & Bearish Positions
BySilas WBy InvestMacro The latest update for the weekly Commitment of Traders (COT) report was released by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) on Friday for data ending on October 15th. This weekly Extreme Positions report highlights the Most Bullish and Most Bearish Positions for the speculator category. Extreme positioning in these markets can foreshadow strong…
RBA holds at 3.60%, upgrades inflation path, sees only one cut in 2026 – Action Forex
BySilas WThe RBA kept the cash rate unchanged at 3.60%, a move widely expected by markets and decided unanimously by the Board. In the statement, policymakers said the decision reflected a balance between inflation risks and economic resilience, noting that Q3 CPI was “materially higher” than expected and that there was “recent evidence of more persistent…
Chart alert: Gold (XAU/USD) bearish trend resumes below $4,620 as stagflation and oil strength weigh
BySilas WThe macro connection between WTI crude oil and Gold is stagflation risk. Higher oil prices via supply side shock (closure of the Strait of Hormuz leads to a lesser oil supply globally, in turn, also creating a second-order effect of lower aggregate demand as input costs of finalized goods and services get more expensive). Hence,…
Gold: Stagflation fears are supporting fresh new all-time highs – MarketPulse
BySilas W5-year and 10-year US breakeven inflation rates have just staged a major bullish breakout from a two-year plus of basing formation. Trade War 2.0 involves the US and other major trading partners that may disrupt international trade and dampen global economic growth. The resurgence of stagflation risk has triggered bullish movements on Gold (XAU/USD). Watch…
FX Watch: NZD/USD and EUR/NZD Setups if New Zealand Q3 Jobs Data Falls Short
BySilas WNew Zealand’s Q3 2024 jobs report is coming up, and there’s buzz about a possible dip in hiring—fueling talk of an RBNZ rate cut! Our Event Guide for New Zealand’s Q3 jobs release suggests that improved business confidence might have boosted hiring and labor costs last quarter. But if the numbers disappoint or…
Quantitative Trading Analysis Toolkit : Stop guessing, start measuring
BySilas WTransform Your Trading From Guesswork to Data-Driven Decisions Most traders rely on intuition, chart patterns, or market rumors. The result? Inconsistent performance and avoidable mistakes. Professional institutions, on the other hand, rely on quantitative analysis — measuring, testing, and managing risk with hard data. The good news? You no longer need a team of quants…