by Calculated Risk on 10/26/2024 08:11:00 AM Boo! The key reports this week are the advance estimate of Q3 GDP and the October employment report. Other key indicators include Personal Income and Outlays and PCE prices for September, the Case-Shiller house prices for August, October ISM manufacturing and services indexes, and October vehicle sales. —–…
by Calculated Risk on 10/25/2024 07:11:00 PM Note: Mortgage rates are from MortgageNewsDaily.com and are for top tier scenarios. For deaths, I’m currently using 4 weeks ago for “now”, since the most recent three weeks will be revised significantly. Note: “Effective May 1, 2024, hospitals are no longer required to report COVID-19 hospital admissions, hospital…
by Calculated Risk on 10/25/2024 01:27:00 PM From the Philly Fed: The Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia has released the coincident indexes for the 50 states for September 2024. Over the past three months, the indexes increased in 34 states, decreased in 10 states, and remained stable in six, for a three-month diffusion index of…
by Calculated Risk on 10/25/2024 10:38:00 AM The BEA will release the advance estimate of Q3 GDP next week. The consensus estimate is GDP increased at a 3.0% real annual rate in Q3, the same rate as in Q2. From BofA: Our 3Q GDP tracking estimate was unchanged this week. We expect the advance 3Q…
by Calculated Risk on 10/25/2024 08:22:00 AM The U.S. hotel industry reported positive year-over-year comparisons, according to CoStar’s latest data through 19 October. … 13-19 October 2024 (percentage change from comparable week in 2023): • Occupancy: 70.1% (+1.6)• Average daily rate (ADR): US$169.85 (+2.5%)• Revenue per available room (RevPAR): US$119.01 (+4.2%)emphasis added The following graph…
by Calculated Risk on 10/24/2024 07:50:00 PM Note: Mortgage rates are from MortgageNewsDaily.com and are for top tier scenarios. Friday:• At 10:00 AM ET, University of Michigan’s Consumer sentiment index (Final for October). The consensus is for a reading of 69.0. Source link
by Calculated Risk on 10/24/2024 05:23:00 PM What this means: On a weekly basis, Realtor.com reports the year-over-year change in active inventory and new listings. On a monthly basis, they report total inventory. For September, Realtor.com reported inventory was up 34.0% YoY, but still down 23.2% compared to the 2017 to 2019 same month levels. …
by Calculated Risk on 10/24/2024 02:33:00 PM From ICE: ICE First Look at Mortgage Performance: September Sees Prepayments at Two-Year High, Slowly Rising Mortgage Delinquencies • The national delinquency rate rose 14 basis points to 3.48% in September, up 4.3% from August and 5.7% year over year • September marked the fourth consecutive year-over-year rise…
by Calculated Risk on 10/24/2024 10:54:00 AM Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: New Home Sales Increase to 738,000 Annual Rate in September Brief excerpt: The Census Bureau reported New Home Sales in September were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR) of 738 thousand. The previous three months were revised down.…The next graph…
by Calculated Risk on 10/24/2024 10:00:00 AM The Census Bureau reports New Home Sales in September were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR) of 738 thousand. The previous three months were revised down. Sales of new single-family houses in September 2024 were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 738,000, according to estimates released…