by Calculated Risk on 6/02/2024 06:15:00 PM Weekend:• Schedule for Week of June 2, 2024 Monday:• At 10:00 AM ET, ISM Manufacturing Index for May. The consensus is for the ISM to be at 49.7, up from 49.2 in April. • Also at 10:00 AM, Construction Spending for April. The consensus is for a 0.2%…
by Calculated Risk on 6/02/2024 08:21:00 AM The U.S. hotel industry reported mixed performance results from the previous week but positive comparisons year over year, according to CoStar’s latest data through 25 May. … 19-25 May 2024 (percentage change from comparable week in 2023): • Occupancy: 67.7% (+1.6%)• Average daily rate (ADR): US$160.67 (+2.3%)• Revenue…
At the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter this week: Click on graph for larger image. • Case-Shiller: National House Price Index Up 6.5% year-over-year in March • Inflation Adjusted House Prices 2.2% Below Peak • Fannie and Freddie: Single Family Serious Delinquency Rate Decreased in April, Multi-family Increased Slightly • Final Look at Local Housing…
by Calculated Risk on 6/01/2024 08:11:00 AM The key report scheduled for this week is the May employment report. Other key reports include the May ISM Manufacturing, Vehicle Sales and April trade balance. —– Monday, June 3rd —– 10:00 AM: ISM Manufacturing Index for May. The consensus is for the ISM to be at 49.7,…
by Calculated Risk on 5/31/2024 07:10:00 PM Note: Mortgage rates are from MortgageNewsDaily.com and are for top tier scenarios. For deaths, I’m currently using 4 weeks ago for “now”, since the most recent three weeks will be revised significantly. Note: “Effective May 1, 2024, hospitals are no longer required to report COVID-19 hospital admissions, hospital…
by Calculated Risk on 5/31/2024 01:01:00 PM From BofA: 1Q GDP was revised down by three-tenths to 1.3% q/q saar, which was broadly in line with our expectations. Meanwhile, our estimate of 2Q GDP ended up unchanged at 1.8% q/q saar from a week ago. [May 31st estimate]emphasis added From Goldman: The consumption details in…
by Calculated Risk on 5/31/2024 09:48:00 AM Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: Fannie and Freddie: Single Family Serious Delinquency Rate Decreased in April, Multi-family Increased Slightly Brief excerpt: Single-family serious delinquencies decreased in April, and multi-family serious delinquencies increased slightly.…Freddie Mac reports that the multi-family delinquencies rate increased to 0.35% in April,…
by Calculated Risk on 5/31/2024 08:57:00 AM Here is a graph of the year-over-year change in shelter from the CPI report and housing from the PCE report this morning, both through April 2024. CPI Shelter was up 5.5% year-over-year in April, down from 5.6% in March, and down from the cycle peak of 8.2% in…
by Calculated Risk on 5/31/2024 08:30:00 AM The BEA released the Personal Income and Outlays report for April: Personal income increased $65.3 billion (0.3 percent at a monthly rate) in April, according to estimates released today by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Disposable personal income (DPI) —personal income less personal current taxes—increased $40.2 billion and…
by Calculated Risk on 5/30/2024 08:09:00 PM Note: Mortgage rates are from MortgageNewsDaily.com and are for top tier scenarios. Friday:• At 8:30 AM ET, Personal Income and Outlays, April 2024. The consensus is for a 0.3% increase in personal income, and for a 0.3% increase in personal spending. And for the Core PCE price index…