S&P 500: uptrend or just corrective move? Although the S&P 500 shows optimism, its growth since March 14 has been viewed as more of a correction. A move toward the target range of 5,881–5,910 becomes more likely if the price consolidates above 5,769. This could reinforce the short-term uptrend, attracting new buyers. Traders should consider…
by Calculated Risk on 3/20/2025 01:47:00 PM What this means: On a weekly basis, Realtor.com reports the year-over-year change in active inventory and new listings. On a monthly basis, they report total inventory. For February, Realtor.com reported inventory was up 27.5% YoY, but still down 22.9% compared to the 2017 to 2019 same month levels. …
by Calculated Risk on 3/20/2025 10:51:00 AM Today, in the CalculatedRisk Real Estate Newsletter: NAR: Existing-Home Sales Increased to 4.26 million SAAR in February; Down 1.2% YoY Excerpt: Sales in February (4.26 million SAAR) were up 4.2% from the previous month and were 1.2% below the February 2024 sales rate. This breaks the streak of…
by Calculated Risk on 3/20/2025 10:00:00 AM From the NAR: Existing-Home Sales Accelerated 4.2% in February Existing-home sales ascended in February, according to the National Association of REALTORS®. For both monthly and year-over-year sales, two major U.S. regions experienced growth, one region remained stable and the other registered a decline. Total existing-home sales – completed…
by Calculated Risk on 3/20/2025 08:30:00 AM The DOL reported: In the week ending March 15, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 223,000, an increase of 2,000 from the previous week’s revised level. The previous week’s level was revised up by 1,000 from 220,000 to 221,000. The 4-week moving average was 227,000,…
by Calculated Risk on 3/19/2025 07:43:00 PM Note: Mortgage rates are from MortgageNewsDaily.com and are for top tier scenarios. Thursday:• At 8:30 AM ET, The initial weekly unemployment claims report will be released. The consensus is for 224 initial claims up from 220 thousand last week. • Also at 8:30 AM, the Philly Fed manufacturing…
by Calculated Risk on 3/19/2025 04:26:00 PM Container traffic gives us an idea about the volume of goods being exported and imported – and usually some hints about the trade report since LA area ports handle about 40% of the nation’s container port traffic. The following graphs are for inbound and outbound traffic at the…
For the first time in history, gold quotes overcame the psychological level of $3,000, reaching $3,004.95. During today’s trading, the quotes dropped slightly to $2,994.3. This price jump is part of a long-term trend: gold has risen in price by 14% since the beginning of the year, and by 82% over the past five years….
by Calculated Risk on 3/19/2025 09:23:00 AM Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: California Home Sales Up 2.6% YoY in February; 4th Look at Local Housing Markets A brief excerpt: Here are a few more local markets prior to the NAR release tomorrow. The NAR is scheduled to release February Existing Home sales…
The global market is currently struggling to find balance in key currency pairs and stock instruments. This is particularly challenging given the recent decline of the euro and the weakness of the dollar. Adding to the pressure are relatively pessimistic forecasts for major global indices. On Tuesday, March 18, the EUR/USD pair traded with slight…