by Calculated Risk on 3/10/2025 07:53:00 PM From Matthew Graham at Mortgage News Daily: Mortgage Rates Recover Some of Last Week’s Losses Bonds are once again paying attention to weakness in stocks–it just happened to take a bigger drop in stocks that we saw last week. Despite the improvement in rates, we would still expect…
by Calculated Risk on 3/10/2025 01:41:00 PM From the Association of American Railroads (AAR) Rail Time Indicators. Graphs and excerpts reprinted with permission. Uncertainty shapes economic cycles — fueling booms, triggering busts, and driving debates about what comes next. Uncertainty abounds in the railroad industry too, where evolving demand, market conditions, and economic policies constantly…
by Calculated Risk on 3/10/2025 10:36:00 AM Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: Part 1: Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-March 2025 A brief excerpt: This 2-part overview for mid-March provides a snapshot of the current housing market. Inventory, inventory, inventory! Inventory usually tells the tale. Currently I’m watching months-of-supply…
by Calculated Risk on 3/09/2025 07:12:00 PM Weekend:• Schedule for Week of March 9, 2025 Monday:• No major economic releases scheduled. From CNBC: Pre-Market Data and Bloomberg futures S&P 500 are down 48 and DOW futures are down 294 (fair value). Oil prices were down over the last week with WTI futures at $67.04 per…
US stock market correction: time to review strategies Major US stock indices, including the S&P 500 and NASDAQ, showed a decline, reaching their one-week lows. The primary pressure factors are market uncertainty related to changes in tariff policy under the Trump administration, as well as weakening investor confidence in the economic outlook. At the same…
by Calculated Risk on 3/09/2025 08:12:00 AM The BLS reported 151 thousand non-farm jobs were added in February. During the Winter months, I like to look at the weather impact on the report. The BLS reported 404 thousand people were employed in non-agriculture industries, with a job, but not at work due to bad weather….
ArchiveMar 2025 (37)Feb 2025 (122)Jan 2025 (127)Dec 2024 (127)Nov 2024 (118)Oct 2024 (125)Sep 2024 (112)Aug 2024 (80)Jul 2024 (124)Jun 2024 (122)May 2024 (130)Apr 2024 (125)Mar 2024 (127)Feb 2024 (119)Jan 2024 (129)Dec 2023 (124)Nov 2023 (125)Oct 2023 (130)Sep 2023 (126)Aug 2023 (139)Jul 2023 (121)Jun 2023 (129)May 2023 (137)Apr 2023 (129)Mar 2023 (139)Feb 2023 (119)Jan 2023 (129)Dec…
by Calculated Risk on 3/08/2025 08:11:00 AM The key report this week is February CPI. —– Monday, March 10th —– No major economic releases scheduled. —– Tuesday, March 11th —– 6:00 AM ET: NFIB Small Business Optimism Index for February. 10:00 AM ET: Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey for January from the BLS. This…
by Calculated Risk on 3/07/2025 07:16:00 PM Note: Mortgage rates are from MortgageNewsDaily.com and are for top tier scenarios. For deaths, I’m currently using 4 weeks ago for “now”, since the most recent three weeks will be revised significantly. Note: “Effective May 1, 2024, hospitals are no longer required to report COVID-19 hospital admissions, hospital…
by Calculated Risk on 3/07/2025 05:13:00 PM From Manheim Consulting today: Wholesale Used-Vehicle Prices Decreased in February Wholesale used-vehicle prices (on a mix, mileage, and seasonally adjusted basis) were lower in February compared to January. The Manheim Used Vehicle Value Index (MUVVI) decreased to 204.1, which reflects a 0.1% increase from a year ago. The…