by Calculated Risk on 2/02/2025 07:23:00 PM Weekend:• Schedule for Week of February 2, 2025 Monday:• At 10:00 AM ET, ISM Manufacturing Index for January. The consensus is for the ISM to be at 49.5, up from 49.3 in December. • Also at 10:00 AM, Construction Spending for December. The consensus is for a 0.1%…
by Calculated Risk on 2/02/2025 08:25:00 AM As expected with the MLK Day holiday, the U.S. hotel industry reported mixed year-over-year comparisons, according to CoStar’s latest data through 25 January. … 119-25 January 2025 (percentage change from comparable week in 2024): • Occupancy: 54.3% (-3.4%)• Average daily rate (ADR): US$154.21 (+3.4%)• Revenue per available room…
by Calculated Risk on 2/01/2025 05:15:00 PM This might be something to watch again. Here is another monthly update on lumber prices. SPECIAL NOTE: The CME group discontinued the Random Length Lumber Futures contract on May 16, 2023. I switched to a physically-delivered Lumber Futures contract that was started in August 2022. Unfortunately, this impacts…
At the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter this week: Click on graph for larger image. • New Home Sales Increase to 698,000 Annual Rate in December • Case-Shiller: National House Price Index Up 3.8% year-over-year in November • Inflation Adjusted House Prices 1.1% Below 2022 Peak • Freddie Mac House Price Index Increased in December;…
by Calculated Risk on 2/01/2025 08:11:00 AM The key reports scheduled for this week are the January employment report and the December trade deficit. Other key indicators include the January ISM manufacturing index and January vehicle sales. —– Monday, February 3rd —– 10:00 AM: ISM Manufacturing Index for January. The consensus is for the ISM…
by Calculated Risk on 1/31/2025 07:38:00 PM Note: Mortgage rates are from MortgageNewsDaily.com and are for top tier scenarios. For deaths, I’m currently using 4 weeks ago for “now”, since the most recent three weeks will be revised significantly. Note: “Effective May 1, 2024, hospitals are no longer required to report COVID-19 hospital admissions, hospital…
by Calculated Risk on 1/31/2025 02:09:00 PM From Goldman: We launched our Q1 GDP tracking estimate at +2.6% (quarter-over-quarter annualized) and our Q1 domestic final sales estimate at +2.3%. We launched our past-quarter GDP tracking estimate at +2.3%, in line with the advance reading. [Jan 31st estimate]emphasis added And from the Atlanta Fed: GDPNow The…
by Calculated Risk on 1/31/2025 10:42:00 AM Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: Freddie Mac House Price Index Increased in December; Up 4.0% Year-over-year A brief excerpt: Freddie Mac reported that its “National” Home Price Index (FMHPI) increased 0.54% month-over-month on a seasonally adjusted (SA) basis in December. On a year-over-year basis, the…
The price of gold reached an all-time high on Friday, capping its best month since March 2024. Investors are actively switching to this protective asset amid concerns about tariffs in the United States. Traders’ attention is focused on the key report on inflation in the United States, expected later. The spot price of gold was…
by Calculated Risk on 1/30/2025 07:30:00 PM Note: Mortgage rates are from MortgageNewsDaily.com and are for top tier scenarios. Friday:• At 8:30 AM ET, 8:30 AM ET: Personal Income and Outlays for December. The consensus is for a 0.4% increase in personal income, and for a 0.5% increase in personal spending. And for the Core…