by Calculated Risk on 8/24/2025 06:20:00 PM Weekend:• Schedule for Week of August 24, 2025 Monday:• At 8:30 AM ET, Chicago Fed National Activity Index for July. This is a composite index of other data. • At 10:00 AM, New Home Sales for July from the Census Bureau. The consensus is for 630 thousand SAAR,…
by Calculated Risk on 8/24/2025 08:21:00 AM From J.D. Power: August New-Vehicle Sales Climb 8.2% as Consumer Spending Reaches Record $54.6 Billion; EV Share Hits All-Time High Brief excerpt: The seasonally adjusted annualized rate (SAAR) for total new-vehicle sales is expected to be 16.1 million units, up 1.0 million units from August 2024.…“August new-vehicle sales…
At the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter this week: Click on graph for larger image. • NAR: Existing-Home Sales Increased to 4.01 million SAAR in July; Up 0.8% YoY • Housing Starts Increased to 1.428 million Annual Rate in July • California Home Sales Down Year-over-year for 4th Straight Month • 3rd Look at Local…
by Calculated Risk on 8/23/2025 08:11:00 AM The key indicators this week include July New Home Sales, the second estimate of Q2 GDP, Personal Income and Outlays for July, and Case-Shiller house prices for June. —– Monday, August 25th —– 8:30 AM ET: Chicago Fed National Activity Index for July. This is a composite index…
Oil prices showed stability on Friday morning after a steady rise the day before. October Brent futures on ICE Futures reached $67.87 per barrel, while the October WTI contract on NYMEX rose to $63.73 per barrel. The market was supported on Thursday by lower expectations of an early settlement of the conflict in Ukraine: the…
XAU/USD. Analysis and Forecast Source link
by Calculated Risk on 8/22/2025 02:21:00 PM From the Philly Fed: The Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia has released the coincident indexes for the 50 states for July 2025. Over the past three months, the indexes increased in 41 states, decreased in eight states, and remained stable in one, for a three-month diffusion index of…
by Calculated Risk on 8/22/2025 12:24:00 PM From Goldman: We boosted our Q3 GDP tracking estimate by 0.1pp to +1.5% (quarter-over-quarter annualized). Our Q3 domestic final sales estimate stands at +0.3%. We left our past-quarter GDP tracking estimate unchanged at +3.1%. [August 21st estimate] And from the Atlanta Fed: GDPNow The GDPNow model estimate for…
When I appeared at this podium one year ago, the economy was at an inflection point. Our policy rate had stood at 5-1/4 to 5-1/2 percent for more than a year. That restrictive policy stance was appropriate to help bring down inflation and to foster a sustainable balance between aggregate demand and supply. Inflation had…
So far, there’s no outright confrontation between crypto bulls and bears, but analysts point to growing tension. The unease is largely tied to Bitcoin’s shaky performance, which has been sliding throughout the week. Some expect that Jerome Powell’s speech at the Jackson Hole symposium could bring relief for BTC. On Thursday, August 21, Bitcoin traded…