by Calculated Risk on 5/15/2025 10:00:00 AM The National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) reported the housing market index (HMI) was at 34, down from 40 last month. Any number below 50 indicates that more builders view sales conditions as poor than good. From the NAHB: Soft Spring Selling Season Takes a Toll on Builder…
by Calculated Risk on 5/15/2025 09:15:00 AM From the Fed: Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization Industrial production (IP) was little changed in April as declines in manufacturing and mining output were offset by growth in utilities output. The index for manufacturing decreased 0.4 percent after increasing 0.4 percent in March. In April, manufacturing output excluding…
by Calculated Risk on 5/15/2025 08:58:00 AM From Fed Chair Powell: Opening Remarks. Excerpts: The economic environment has changed significantly since 2020, and our review will reflect our assessment of those changes. Longer-term interest rates are a good deal higher now, driven largely by real rates given the stability of longer-term inflation expectations. Many estimates…
by Calculated Risk on 5/14/2025 07:15:00 PM Note: Mortgage rates are from MortgageNewsDaily.com and are for top tier scenarios. Thursday:• At 8:30 AM ET, The initial weekly unemployment claims report will be released. The consensus is for initial claims of 230 thousand, up from 228 thousand last week. • Also at 8:30 AM, Retail sales…
by Calculated Risk on 5/14/2025 01:26:00 PM Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: Part 2: Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-May 2025 A brief excerpt: Last Friday, in Part 1: Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-May 2025 I reviewed home inventory, housing starts and sales. I noted…
Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: Q1 NY Fed Report: Mortgage Originations by Credit Score, Delinquencies Increase, Foreclosures Increase A brief excerpt: The transition rate to serious delinquent is generally increasing and foreclosures are close to pre-pandemic levels. The Q1 increase is likely due to the end of the VA foreclosure moratorium. ……
by Calculated Risk on 5/13/2025 07:56:00 PM Note: Mortgage rates are from MortgageNewsDaily.com and are for top tier scenarios. Wednesday:• At 7:00 AM ET, The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) will release the results for the mortgage purchase applications index. Source link
by Calculated Risk on 5/13/2025 12:39:00 PM The Cleveland Fed released the median CPI and the trimmed-mean CPI. According to the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, the median Consumer Price Index rose 0.3% in April. The 16% trimmed-mean Consumer Price Index increased 0.2%. “The median CPI and 16% trimmed-mean CPI are measures of core inflation…
by Calculated Risk on 5/13/2025 11:14:00 AM From the NY Fed: Change in Household Debt Balances Mixed; Student Loan Delinquencies Rise Sharply The Federal Reserve Bank of New York’s Center for Microeconomic Data today issued its Quarterly Report on Household Debt and Credit. The report shows total household debt increased by $167 billion (0.9%) in…
by Calculated Risk on 5/12/2025 07:13:00 PM From Matthew Graham at Mortgage News Daily: Mortgage Rates Jump to 2 Week Highs After US/China Trade Talks Tariffs and trade policy have been a new and important consideration for the bond market for just over a month now. That matters to mortgage rates because mortgage pricing is…