by Calculated Risk on 9/25/2025 08:30:00 AM The DOL reported: In the week ending September 20, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 218,000, a decrease of 14,000 from the previous week’s revised level. The previous week’s level was revised up by 1,000 from 231,000 to 232,000. The 4-week moving average was 237,500,…
by Calculated Risk on 9/24/2025 08:52:00 PM Note: Mortgage rates are from MortgageNewsDaily.com and are for top tier scenarios. Thursday:• At 8:30 AM ET, The initial weekly unemployment claims report will be released. The consensus is for initial claims to increase to 234 thousand from 231 thousand last week. • At 8:30 AM, Gross Domestic…
On Tuesday afternoon, oil prices moved back up, reacting to geopolitical tensions and news about supplies. November Brent futures on ICE Futures added 1,1% to $67.77 per barrel. WTI contracts on the NYMEX rose 1.2% to $63.4 per barrel. The quotes are supported by fears of an escalation of the conflict in the Middle East…
by Calculated Risk on 9/24/2025 04:50:00 PM Note: This index is a leading indicator primarily for new Commercial Real Estate (CRE) investment including multi-family residential. From the AIA: ABI August 2025: Softness persists at architecture firms The AIA/Deltek Architecture Billings Index (ABI) score was 47.2 for the month of August 2025. The share of firms…
by Calculated Risk on 9/24/2025 02:16:00 PM From Intercontinental Exchange: ICE First Look at Mortgage Performance: Delinquencies Up on Calendar Effect; Foreclosure Activity Slowly Trending Higher Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. (NYSE:ICE) … today released its August 2025 ICE First Look at mortgage delinquency, foreclosure and prepayment trends. The data shows the national delinquency rate rose in…
by Calculated Risk on 9/24/2025 10:59:00 AM Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: New Home Sales increased to 800,000 Annual Rate in August Brief excerpt: The Census Bureau reported New Home Sales in August were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR) of 800 thousand. The previous three months were revised up, combined.…The…
by Calculated Risk on 9/23/2025 07:56:00 PM Note: Mortgage rates are from MortgageNewsDaily.com and are for top tier scenarios. Wednesday:• At 7:00 AM ET, The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) will release the results for the mortgage purchase applications index. • At 10:00 AM: New Home Sales for August from the Census Bureau. The consensus is…
On Monday, the crypto market faced a large-scale liquidation of long positions in excess of $1.5 billion, which caused a collapse in quotations of leading digital assets. Ether fell in price by almost 9%, to $4,075, while liquidations on it reached $500 million, Coinglass data show. Bitcoin fell by 3% to $111,998, and other coins,…
by Calculated Risk on 9/23/2025 05:11:00 PM From Fed Chair Powell: Economic Outlook. Excerpts: In the labor market, there has been a marked slowing in both the supply of and demand for workers—an unusual and challenging development. In this less dynamic and somewhat softer labor market, the downside risks to employment have risen. The unemployment…
by Calculated Risk on 9/23/2025 12:17:00 PM I’ve been tracking the weak hotel occupancy numbers in the U.S. Meanwhile, Canadian hotels are reporting strong numbers! From CoStar: Canadian travelers push their home and native land to record summer highs Canada’s hotel performance this summer has been historically strong, with August bringing in the highest occupancy…