Next Week’s Menu: August 30-September 5, 2025 August 29, 2025 Central Banks: Monetary policy reviews in Poland and Malaysia are scheduled in the coming week. The Fed Beige Book of recent regional economic conditions gets published Wednesday, and market participants also will be monitoring ongoing developments in President Trump’s attempt to fire Fed Governor Cook…
Marking Time Ahead of the U.S. PCE Price Deflator’s Release August 29, 2025 There’s much for investors to ponder, but with about 2-1/2 hours remaining before the release of U.S. personal income and consumption, whose price deflator has the most influence on Fed policy among the various measures of inflation, financial markets are playing possum….
Third Egyptian Central Bank Rate Cut Since April August 28, 2025 The Central Bank of Egypt’s new policy interest rate level will be 22.0%, still considerably north of year-on-year CPI inflation (13.9%) as of July. Along with reductions done in April and May, today’s as-expected two percentage point cut means that all but 75 basis…
Interest Rate Cut in the Philippines August 28, 2025 In the Philippines where on-year CPI inflation in July printed at a 69-month low of 0.9%, officials at Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas cut their key interest rate by another 25 percentage points to a 33-month low of 5.0%. This expected move brings cumulative rate reduction over…
Revised U.S. GDP, Euroland Economic Sentiment, and ECB Minutes in Today’s Headlines August 28, 2025 The dollar lost marginal ground overnight, including dips of 0.2% against the euro and yen. In contrast to one-basis point upticks in the U.S. and German ten-year sovereign debt yields, those of other key economies slipped such as 3 basis…
Dollar Up In Spite of Trump’s Interference in Monetary Policy August 27, 2025 President Trump, who has been outspoken in demanding that the Federal Reserve cut its short-term interest rate substantially, is pursuing legal channels to fire Reserve Governor Lisa Cook. Market watchers have been surprised at how little this potentially huge policy change has…
Second Thoughts about the Scope and Implication of Possible Resumed Federal Reserve Interest Rate Cuts August 25, 2025 (177) The euphoria of investors following last Friday’s speech from Fed Chairman Powell ebbed quickly. Whereas risk-on behavior surged before the weekend on the signal that a rate reduction in September would be up for likely discussion,…
Powell’s Highly Awaited Speech Today Lifts Likelihood of Resumed Cycle of U.S. Interest Rate Reduction August 22, 2025 Speaking at the Jackson Hole Monetary Symposium this morning Federal Reserve Chairman Powell acknowledged that the U.S. baseline outlook and balance of risks between higher inflation and lessening employment growth are shifting. Major points that were expressed…
A Stew of FOMC Minutes, Preliminary Purchasing Manager Survey Results, and Producer Price and Consumer Confidence Reports August 21, 2025 In spite of on-going concern about tariffs and geopolitical strains, the preliminary readings of August purchasing manager surveys highlighted unexpected economic resilience around the world: The S&P Global-compiled U.S. composite PMI index jumped to an…
Central Bank Rate Cuts in New Zealand, Indonesia and Uruguay August 20, 2025 Officials at Bank Indonesia sprung a surprise on market participants at today’s scheduled monetary policy review. No interest rate change had been predicted in light of a higher 2.5% inflation rate last month, but instead the policy rate got cut 25 basis…