The past week was driven by US labour market data and rising geopolitical tensions. The Nonfarm Payrolls report on April 03 confirmed the resilience of employment in the US. However, wage growth and persistent inflation pressure did not provide the market with a clear signal of a potential shift toward a softer Federal Reserve policy….
The past week was driven by macroeconomic data from the US and the Eurozone. Preliminary PMI data released on March 24 showed moderate slowing of business activity in Europe and relatively stronger performance in the US, which supported the dollar. Initial jobless claims on March 26 remained broadly stable, showing no signs of sharp labor…
The past week once again unfolded under the influence of geopolitics, as well as market reactions to central bank decisions. The US Federal Reserve kept the rate unchanged, confirming a wait-and-see stance and caution regarding further inflation slowdown. The ECB also left its policy parameters unchanged, signalling the continuation of a tight stance. The Bank…
As expected, the past week was influenced by both macroeconomic statistics and geopolitical factors. The focus was on inflation data in the United States and Germany, however the main driver for commodity markets continued to be the situation in the Middle East. Against this background the dollar continued to strengthen, while oil and gold remained…
The past week did not lead to the formation of new sustainable trends. In the United States, the publication of the preliminary GDP estimate for Q4 showed continued positive dynamics without signs of overheating, while statistics on personal income and spending indicated moderate consumer behaviour. This kept yields within a range and did not allow…
On the past week, in the United States the focus was on the January labour market report, the publication of which had been postponed earlier. The data confirmed the resilience of employment and the absence of a sharp cooling in the economy, which supported cautious expectations of a Fed rate cut. Additional influence came from…
Last week can be described as crazy. Our forecast for the key trends turned out to be 100% accurate. However, we did not expect such a surge in abnormal volatility. Markets reacted in panic to the escalation of sanctions rhetoric and harsh steps by the United States toward Iran. This undermined confidence in the US…
The past week became one of the weakest for the US dollar in recent months. USD began to lose its status as an unconditional safe-haven asset. Political and geopolitical uncertainty around the United States increased noticeably. Resonant statements by Donald Trump and the escalation of the Greenland issue became additional pressure factors. Against this background,…
Forex and Crypto Forecast for January 19–23, 2026 Source link
The first full trading week of 2026 begins after the holiday break amid mixed dynamics in global markets. Market participants are gradually returning to active trading, while the US dollar is showing moderate strengthening. Global liquidity remains restrained, and investors’ attention is shifting back to macroeconomic data, which is likely to shape market sentiment and…