by Calculated Risk on 9/10/2025 12:47:00 PM From Cotality (formerly CoreLogic): US home price insights — September 2025 The 2025 spring homebuyers season ended softly, with slower price growth dominating the narrative and potentially opening the door to more buyers. • Year-over-year price growth dipped to 1.4% in July 2025. This is almost half the…
by Calculated Risk on 9/10/2025 10:19:00 AM Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: Part 1: Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-September 2025 A brief excerpt: This 2-part overview for mid-September provides a snapshot of the current housing market. The key stories this year for existing homes are that inventory increased…
by Calculated Risk on 9/09/2025 08:16:00 PM Note: Mortgage rates are from MortgageNewsDaily.com and are for top tier scenarios. Wednesday:• At 7:00 AM ET, The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) will release the results for the mortgage purchase applications index. • At 8:30 AM, The Producer Price Index for August from the BLS. The consensus is…
by Calculated Risk on 9/09/2025 01:01:00 PM The Consumer Price Index for August is scheduled to be released on Thursday, September 11th. The consensus is for a 0.3% increase in CPI, and a 0.3% increase in core CPI. The consensus is for CPI to be up 2.9% year-over-year (up from 2.7% in July) and core…
by Calculated Risk on 9/09/2025 10:00:00 AM From the BLS: Current Employment Statistics Preliminary Benchmark (National) Summary The preliminary estimate of the Current Employment Statistics (CES) national benchmark revision to total nonfarm employment for March 2025 is -911,000 (-0.6 percent), the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. The annual benchmark revisions over the last…
by Calculated Risk on 9/08/2025 08:09:00 PM From Matthew Graham at Mortgage News Daily: Another 11-Month Low For Rates, But Just Barely To their credit, most mortgage lenders did an admirable job of aggressively pricing-in the bond market rally after last Friday’s jobs report. Many mortgage market pros repeat the phrase “stairs down, escalator up”…
by Calculated Risk on 9/08/2025 03:05:00 PM From Manheim Consulting today: Wholesale Used-Vehicle Prices Were Unchanged in August Wholesale used-vehicle prices (on a mix, mileage, and seasonally adjusted basis) were flat in August compared to July. The Manheim Used Vehicle Value Index (MUVVI) was unchanged at 207.4, representing a 1.7% increase from the same period…
by Calculated Risk on 9/08/2025 12:51:00 PM Today, in the Real Estate Newsletter: September ICE Mortgage Monitor: House Prices Up Slightly Year-over-year Brief excerpt: House Prices Up Slightly Year-over-year Here is the year-over-year in house prices according to the ICE Home Price Index (HPI). The ICE HPI is a repeat sales index. ICE reports the…
by Calculated Risk on 9/07/2025 07:10:00 PM Weekend:• Schedule for Week of September 7, 2025 Monday:• No major economic releases scheduled. From CNBC: Pre-Market Data and Bloomberg futures S&P 500 are up 9 and DOW futures are up 82 (fair value). Oil prices were up over the last week with WTI futures at $61.92 per…
by Calculated Risk on 9/07/2025 08:09:00 AM From the Association of American Railroads (AAR) AAR Data Center. Graph and excerpts reprinted with permission. The AAR Freight Rail Index (FRI), which measures seasonally adjusted month to-month rail intermodal shipments plus carloads excluding coal and grain, fell 0.5% in August 2025 from July 2025, its fourth decline…