Week Ahead:Highlights include Potential US CPI and Retail Sales data, start of earnings season, China inflation and trade, UK GDP earnings season, China inflation and trade, UK GDP UK GDP MON: US Columbus Day, Canadian Thanksgiving, Japanese Holiday (Sports Day), OPEC MOMR, Chinese Trade Balance (Oct) TUE: RBA Minutes (Sep), IEA OMR, UK Unemployment/Wages (Aug),…
Is the Bank of Japan Truly Independent? In Japan in the mean time… One key theme in 2025 has been a weaker USDJPY, driven by diverging monetary policy paths. While the Bank of Japan (BoJ) has been preparing to raise interest rates, other major central banks, most notably the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed)…
The “Takaichi Trade” Tokyo Japan The “Takaichi Trade” Explained Global markets have already coined a new phrase called the “Takaichi Trade.” It refers to the market reaction following the election of Japan’s new Prime Minister, Sanae Takaichi, who is widely seen as a supporter of former leader Shinzō Abe’s economic strategy known as…
Fed Faces Dilemma Ahead of October 29 FOMC Meeting Data Accuracy With the next Federal Reserve (FOMC) decision scheduled for October 29, policymakers are facing an unusual challenge: the government shutdown has delayed critical economic data, leaving the Fed “flying blind” just weeks before its next interest rate call. At the September meeting,…
Highlights include Fed Meeting Minutes, ECB Minutes, RBNZ, Canada jobs, OPEC+, Japan LDP leadership election SAT: Japanese LDP Leadership Election SUN: OPEC+ Meeting Fed Meeting Minutes MON: EZ Construction PMI (Sep), Sentix (Oct), US Employment Trends (Sep), New Zealand NZIER (Q3) TUE: EIA STEO; German Industrial Orders (Aug), US International Trade (Aug), Canadian Trade Balance…
Hooked on Headlines: Why Financial Markets Are Addicted to News Financial Decisions and Headlines Financial markets today are hooked on news, so much so that it often feels like an addiction. Headline news is the primary mechanism by which uncertainty is reduced and expectations are formed. At the same time, news can create…
History of U.S. Government Shutdowns Power Struggle As the September 30 funding deadline approaches, history may be about to repeat itself. The United States has faced several major government shutdowns in the past, and the odds are rising that another one could begin on October 1, 2025. Power Struggle A Look Back: History of…
Why the Next Fed Chair Matters: Yield Curve Steepening, Fed Independence, and Market Implications Treasury Yield Curve The combination of loose U.S. fiscal policy and an easy monetary policy stance is raising red flags for global investors. Together, they increase the risk of higher inflation and could undermine confidence in the U.S. dollar. At the…
GV News – The Evolution of News Trading in Forex GV News on forex trading news There was a time when trading the news in forex was while never easy. it was easier. In the early days of online trading, brokers offered a feature that gave retail traders a clear edge: guaranteed fills. The…
Highlights include US PCE, SNB, Flash PMIs, Aussie and Tokyo CPI Interest rates MON: PBoC LPR, EZ Consumer Confidence Flash (Sep) TUE: Riksbank Announcement, EZ/UK/US Flash PMIs (Sep) WED: CNB Announcement, Australian CPI (Aug), German Ifo Survey (Sep) THU: SNB Announcement, Banxico Announcement, BoJ Minutes, PBoC MLF, German GfK Consumer Sentiment (Oct), US Durable…