The RBA is facing a “central banker’s nightmare” as rising oil prices push inflation higher while threatening economic activity. Speaking in New York, Deputy Governor Andrew Hauser warned that the Middle East conflict is delivering a significant income shock to Australia, complicating the policy outlook at a time when inflation is already “too high.” Hauser…
Attention is firmly on Islamabad as the United States and Iran begin their first high-level talks since the onset of war, with markets looking for signs of a breakthrough that could evolve into a broader Islamabad Accord. The outcome would be as a defining moment for energy markets, inflation, and global risk sentiment, with delegations…
The return of “1970s-style stagflation” is no longer a distant tail risk—it is fast becoming the central theme driving global markets. The clearest warning sign is the emergence of a “dual shock” of rising oil prices and climbing Treasury yields. In a typical geopolitical crisis, investors seek safety in bonds, pushing yields lower. This time,…
After hawkish Fed, dollar traders turn to preliminary PMI data. Pound set for a busy week amid inflation, PMI and retail sales numbers. Japan’s CPI to determine how likely an April BoJ hike is. Australia’s CPI could solidify the case for a third consecutive RBA hike. After the central bank spree, agenda becomes lighter. Following…
RBA Governor Michele Bullock pushed back against the market’s initial interpretation of a divided board, emphasizing that the 5–4 split in the decision on today’s 25bps hike reflects a debate over “timing” rather than “direction”. She stressed that all members agree inflation remains too high and that further policy tightening will be required, with those…
Discover our Weekly Market Outlook, exploring themes and events that forged financial flows throughout the week. This week saw the commencement of large wartime impacts on volatility. With the FOMC coming up, it’s not easy to expect better conditions ahead. Get ready for next week’s action by exploring upcoming events across global Markets. Week in…
Aussie has staged a remarkable breakout today, surging broadly higher to clip a near four-year peak against Dollar. AUD/USD is now knocking on the door of a critical resistance zone at 0.72. Firm break above this level wouldn’t just be a win for the bulls—it would signal strong underlying momentum that could pave the way…
Oil and gas prices shoot up, upending rate cut bets as inflation fears return. Stocks tumble amid surging bond yields and stagflation risks. Markets increasingly price in a prolonged Iran conflict. Did Trump just shoot himself and the US economy in the foot? Back to the 1970s It’s only been a few years since Russia’s…
Global markets were forced to face three major developments last week, each capable on its own of destabilizing sentiment. Instead of buckling under the weight of legal, monetary, and geopolitical shocks, investors responded with surprising composure. At the end of the week came a landmark legal decision in the US that struck at the core…
US GDP and PCE inflation are main highlights, plus the Fed minutes. UK and Japan have busy calendars too with focus on CPI. Flash PMIs for February will also be doing the rounds. RBNZ meets, is unlikely to follow RBA’s hawkish path. Dovish Fed bets suffer a fresh blow The US jobs report for January,…