by Calculated Risk on 4/21/2025 08:11:00 AM Altos reports that active single-family inventory was up 2.4% week-over-week. Inventory is now up 15.2% from the seasonal bottom in January and is increasing. Usually, inventory is up about 6% or 7% from the seasonal low by this week in the year. So, 2025 is seeing a larger than…
by Calculated Risk on 4/20/2025 06:37:00 PM Weekend:• Schedule for Week of April 20, 2025 Monday:• No major economic releases scheduled. From CNBC: Pre-Market Data and Bloomberg futures S&P 500 are down 20 and DOW futures are down 128 (fair value). Oil prices were up over the last week with WTI futures at $64.68 per…
by Calculated Risk on 4/20/2025 10:00:00 AM This is something to watch with less international travel. Here are the daily travel numbers from the TSA. This data is as of April 16, 2025. Click on graph for larger image. This data shows the 7-day average of daily total traveler throughput from the TSA (Blue). Air travel is…
At the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter this week: Click on graph for larger image. • Housing and Demographics • Housing Starts Decreased to 1.324 million Annual Rate in March • Watch Inventory and Why Measures of Existing Home Inventory appear Different • 3rd Look at Local Housing Markets in March This is usually published…
by Calculated Risk on 4/19/2025 08:11:00 AM The key reports scheduled for this week are March New and Existing Home sales. For manufacturing, the April Richmond and Kansas City manufacturing surveys will be released. —– Monday, April 21st —– No major economic releases scheduled. —– Tuesday, April 22nd —– 10:00 AM: Richmond Fed Survey of…
by Calculated Risk on 4/18/2025 06:42:00 PM Note: Mortgage rates are from MortgageNewsDaily.com and are for top tier scenarios. For deaths, I’m currently using 4 weeks ago for “now”, since the most recent three weeks will be revised significantly. Note: “Effective May 1, 2024, hospitals are no longer required to report COVID-19 hospital admissions, hospital…
by Calculated Risk on 4/18/2025 11:39:00 AM Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: Housing and Demographics A brief excerpt: I’ll return to the above graph and discuss some of the implications for the next decade, but first, here is a similar graph for July 2010. The arrow points to the large cohort moving…
by Calculated Risk on 4/18/2025 08:30:00 AM From BofA: 1Q GDP tracking increased three tenths to 0.7% q/q saar after the upward revisions to Jan and Feb core control retail sales. [Apr 17th estimate]emphasis added From Goldman: We left our Q1 GDP tracking estimate unchanged at +0.4% (quarter-over-quarter annualized). [Apr 17th estimate] And from the…
by Calculated Risk on 4/17/2025 08:31:00 PM Note: Mortgage rates are from MortgageNewsDaily.com and are for top tier scenarios. Friday:• All US markets will be closed in observance of Good Friday. • AT 10:00 AM ET, State Employment and Unemployment (Monthly) for March 2025 Source link
by Calculated Risk on 4/17/2025 01:05:00 PM What this means: On a weekly basis, Realtor.com reports the year-over-year change in active inventory and new listings. On a monthly basis, they report total inventory. For March, Realtor.com reported inventory was up 28.5% YoY, but still down 20.2% compared to the 2017 to 2019 same month levels. …