by Calculated Risk on 7/24/2025 10:49:00 AM Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: New Home Sales Increase to 627,000 Annual Rate in June Brief excerpt: The Census Bureau reported New Home Sales in June were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR) of 627 thousand. The previous three months were revised down, combined.…The…
by Calculated Risk on 7/24/2025 10:00:00 AM The Census Bureau reports New Home Sales in June were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR) of 627 thousand. The previous three months were revised down, combined. Sales of new single-family houses in June 2025 were at a seasonally-adjusted annual rate of 627,000, according to estimates released…
by Calculated Risk on 7/24/2025 08:30:00 AM The DOL reported: In the week ending July 19, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 217,000, a decrease of 4,000 from the previous week’s unrevised level of 221,000. The 4-week moving average was 224,500, a decrease of 5,000 from the previous week’s unrevised average of…
by Calculated Risk on 7/23/2025 07:53:00 PM Note: Mortgage rates are from MortgageNewsDaily.com and are for top tier scenarios. Thursday:• At 8:30 AM, The initial weekly unemployment claims report will be released. The consensus is for initial claims to increase to 230 thousand from 221 thousand last week. • Also t 8:30 AM, Chicago Fed…
by Calculated Risk on 7/23/2025 06:36:00 PM Note: This index is a leading indicator primarily for new Commercial Real Estate (CRE) investment. From the AIA: ABI June 2025: Architecture firm billings remain soft, while inquiries increase The AIA/Deltek Architecture Billings Index score was 46.8 for the month, indicating that the majority of architecture firms are…
by Calculated Risk on 7/23/2025 03:01:00 PM From the Philly Fed: The Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia has released the coincident indexes for the 50 states for June 2025. Over the past three months, the indexes increased in 40 states, decreased in seven states, and remained stable in three, for a three-month diffusion index of…
by Calculated Risk on 7/23/2025 10:53:00 AM Today, in the CalculatedRisk Real Estate Newsletter: NAR: Existing-Home Sales Decreased to 3.93 million SAAR in June; Unchanged YoY Excerpt: Sales in June (3.93 million SAAR) were down 2.7% from the previous month and were unchanged compared to the June 2024 sales rate. This was the 5th consecutive…
by Calculated Risk on 7/22/2025 07:28:00 PM Note: Mortgage rates are from MortgageNewsDaily.com and are for top tier scenarios. Wednesday:• At 7:00 AM ET, The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) will release the results for the mortgage purchase applications index. • At 10:00 AM: Existing Home Sales for June from the National Association of Realtors (NAR)….
by Calculated Risk on 7/22/2025 03:11:00 PM This is something to watch again. Here is another update on lumber prices. SPECIAL NOTE: The CME group discontinued the Random Length Lumber Futures contract on May 16, 2023. I switched to a physically-delivered Lumber Futures contract that was started in August 2022. Unfortunately, this impacts long term…
by Calculated Risk on 7/22/2025 11:33:00 AM There are four remaining FOMC meetings this year: July, September, October and December. It is very unlikely that the FOMC will cut rates next week, but there are very different views on the rest of 2025. First, from BofA: With the u-rate rising more gradually in our new…