The past week became one of the weakest for the US dollar in recent months. USD began to lose its status as an unconditional safe-haven asset. Political and geopolitical uncertainty around the United States increased noticeably. Resonant statements by Donald Trump and the escalation of the Greenland issue became additional pressure factors. Against this background,…
Forex and Crypto Forecast for January 19–23, 2026 Source link
The first full trading week of 2026 begins after the holiday break amid mixed dynamics in global markets. Market participants are gradually returning to active trading, while the US dollar is showing moderate strengthening. Global liquidity remains restrained, and investors’ attention is shifting back to macroeconomic data, which is likely to shape market sentiment and…
The past week unfolded against the backdrop of gradually declining liquidity ahead of the Christmas holidays and a limited number of major macroeconomic releases. Market attention was focused on US data, including revised GDP estimates for Q3 and PCE inflation figures published on December 23-24. These releases set the overall trading tone, although in thin…
Last week, major central banks announced their decisions. On December 18, the ECB left interest rates unchanged and confirmed that future steps will depend on key macroeconomic data. On the same day, the Bank of England cut its key rate from 4.0% to 3.75% due to slowing inflation. On December 19, the Bank of Japan…
The Santa Claus Rally is one of the most recognised calendar effects in the market, first described by Yale Hirsch in 1972. It has been observed for nearly half a century and refers to the typical rise in equity indices during the last five trading days of December and the first two days of January….
The past week was relatively calm, with markets frozen in anticipation of the US Federal Reserve meeting on 9-10 December. Prices across most observed assets saw minimal movement, with EUR/USD being the only notable exception. Investors still do not rule out a 0.25% rate cut at this meeting, though many believe this step in easing…
Markets enter the first month of winter amid mixed sentiment – investors are preparing for the final Fed meeting scheduled for 10 December. The end of quantitative tightening and expectations of further rate cuts continue to pressure the US dollar, support demand for precious metals and help maintain relative stability in risk assets despite uneven…
Major markets ended the week with a cautious, slightly risk-off tone. The minutes of the latest FOMC meeting showed that US central bank policymakers remain divided on whether another rate cut at the December meeting is warranted. The discussion is unfolding against a backdrop of relatively stable macro data: the November business-activity surveys confirm continued…
Bitcoin ends 2025 with a sharp reversal: from record highs above USD 120,000 in the summer to levels below USD 82,000 in November. The correction was driven by a combination of factors: profit-taking, rising volatility, liquidity issues on several platforms, declining BTC ETF volumes, the Federal Reserve’s hawkish tone, and uncertainty surrounding a possible US…