unemployment

by Calculated Risk on 10/23/2025 11:04:00 AM Today, in the CalculatedRisk Real Estate Newsletter: NAR: Existing-Home Sales Increased to 4.06 million SAAR in September Excerpt: The fourth graph shows existing home sales by month for 2024 and 2025. Sales were up 4.1% year-over-year compared to September 2024. This was the easiest year-over-year comparison.…On an NSA…

by Calculated Risk on 10/23/2025 10:00:00 AM From the NAR: NAR Existing-Home Sales Report Shows 1.5% Increase in September Month-over-month • 1.5% increase in existing-home sales – seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.06 million in September • 1.3% increase in unsold inventory – 1.55 million units equal to 4.6 months’ supply Year-over-year • 4.1% increase…

by Calculated Risk on 10/22/2025 07:49:00 PM Note: Mortgage rates are from MortgageNewsDaily.com and are for top tier scenarios. Thursday:• At 8:30 AM ET, The initial weekly unemployment claims report will be released. (WILL NOT BE RELEASED) • At 8:30 AM, Chicago Fed National Activity Index for September. This is a composite index of other…

by Calculated Risk on 10/22/2025 03:46:00 PM Note: This index is a leading indicator primarily for new Commercial Real Estate (CRE) investment including multi-family residential. From the AIA: ABI September 2025: Weakness persists at architecture firms The AIA/Deltek Architecture Billings Index (ABI) score of 43.3 for the month is the softest reading since April and…

by Calculated Risk on 10/22/2025 02:27:00 PM Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: 2nd Look at Local Housing Markets in September A brief excerpt: The NAR is scheduled to release September Existing Home sales on Thursday, October 23rd at 10:00 AM. The consensus is for the NAR to report sales of 4.06 million…

by Calculated Risk on 10/22/2025 07:00:00 AM From the MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest MBA Weekly Survey Mortgage applications decreased 0.3 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending October 17, 2025. The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage…

by Calculated Risk on 10/21/2025 07:58:00 PM Note: Mortgage rates are from MortgageNewsDaily.com and are for top tier scenarios. Wednesday:• 7:00 AM ET, The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) will release the results for the mortgage purchase applications index. • During the day, The AIA/Deltek’s Architecture Billings Index for September (a leading indicator for commercial real…

by Calculated Risk on 10/21/2025 03:46:00 PM Here are a few photos from my trip to Patagonia: Click on graph for larger image. The first photo is at Cape Horn with a friend since high school.  We were lucky to able to go ashore! The albatross is a memorial to all the sailors that lost…

by Calculated Risk on 10/20/2025 07:13:00 PM From Matthew Graham at Mortgage News Daily: Another Boring Day With Mortgage Rates Near 3-Year Lows [W]e’re hanging out near 3 year lows with minimal volatility. In order to see sharper, more sustained momentum, we’d likely need the government shutdown to end. That would allow the most consequential…