Forex Trading Glossary – L LagThe number of bars that an indicator trails the current price. For example, a moving average will peak by a number of periods after the market price peaks. This period is generally half the length of the moving average. LeadThe number of bars that an indictor designed to change…
The financial markets were marked by significant turbulence this last week again, dominated by risk aversion. Evidence are surfacing that the US economy is heading for a recession, or even hard landing. Speculation is mounting that Fed might be compelled to implement aggressive rate cuts, totaling 75 basis points or even a full percentage point…
EUR/USD: Hawkish Sentiments of the Fed As expected, the key day of last week was Wednesday, 12 June. After the publication of inflation data in the USA, the dollar came under strong pressure. Fresh figures showed that in May, the overall inflation rate (CPI) in annual terms decreased to 3.3% compared to the expected 3.4%….
USDJPY remains constructive and probing above 157 barrier (the upper borderline of triangular consolidation and Fibo 61.8% of 160.19/151.85 bear-leg), but ranges are narrowing ahead of key releases this week – US inflation report and Fed rate decision, both due on Wednesday. The dollar stands at the front foot following stronger than expected US jobs…
EUR/USD: Who Controls the Financial Market It is clear that interest rates rule the markets, not only in terms of actual changes but also regarding expectations about the timing and magnitude of future changes. From spring 2022 to mid-2023, the focus was on raising rates; now, the expectation has shifted towards their reduction. Traders are…
The dollar index accelerated higher on Wednesday, following much stronger than expected US services PMI data (May 53.8 vs 51.0 f/c and Apr 49.4) which signaled that services sector returned to growth (May figure hit the highest in nine months) and offset negative signals from downbeat labor reports (JOLTS and ADP). Fresh advance cracked strong…
Fed sticks to ‘higher for longer’ mentality PMIs pose downside risks to nonfarm payrolls But point to sticky wage growth The data comes out on Friday, at 12:30 GMT US inflation slows but Fed signals patience Although the latest CPI data revealed that inflation in the US has resumed its downtrend, Fed officials have been…
EUR/USD: Awaiting a Turbulent Week Recall that Monday, 27 May was a holiday in the US. However, on Tuesday, dollar bulls took control, and the DXY Index started to rise, bolstered by a significant increase in the US Consumer Confidence Index (from 97.5 to 102.0 against a forecast of 96.0). Consequently, EUR/USD moved southward. Pressure…
The 3 Fundamental Rules of the Elliott Wave Theory Elliott Wave Theory relies on people being able to identify waves in the charts. There is no surprise there. However, there are three immutable rules that you must never forget when you are trading using the Elliott Wave Theory. The Rules Follow…
Inflation data were the key drivers in the forex markets last week, though they failed to produce any sustained movements across major currencies. Australian Dollar rallied following robust CPI figures, yet its gains were limited by the prevailing risk-off sentiment in the region. Similarly, Euro received a modest boost after unexpected acceleration in inflation, but…