Fundamental Overview The USD weakened across the board yesterday following soft ADP data and a Bloomberg report saying that Hassett emerged as the frontrunner for the Fed Chair position. The greenback was already under some pressure caused by Fed’s Williams endorsement for a December cut on Friday. The probability for a December cut is now…
Fundamental Overview The USD has weakened pretty much across the board last week despite a strong US ADP and ISM Services PMI. As mentioned previously, when markets react like that it’s generally a signal of a short-term top with the market needing more to keep the trend going. In fact, the market pricing is now…
Fundamental Overview The USD sold off across the board on Friday as Fed Chair Powell tilted more dovish by saying that “with policy in restrictive territory, the baseline outlook and the shifting balance of risks may warrant adjusting our policy stance.” That saw traders firming up expectations for a rate cut in September which now…
Fundamental Overview The US Dollar started the week on the backfoot as the odds of a Harris victory jumped higher leading to a pullback in the Trump’s trades. Everything hinges on the US election now with a red sweep seen as the most bullish scenario for the greenback, while a blue sweep as the most…
Fundamental Overview The weak US NFP report last Friday triggered risk-off flows. Things got dire on Monday as the Japanese Nikkei dropped 12% overnight and we saw a general selloff in global stock markets. At one point, the markets saw the Fed cutting rates by 136 bps by year-end and some chances of an emergency…