The Great Short Squeeze: Nifty’s 1100-Point Rocket & The Expiry Bloodbath – Bramesh’s Technical Analysis
The “impossible” has happened. After months of grueling tariffs and bearish sentiment, the India-U.S. Trade Deal has landed like a lightning bolt. With GIFT Nifty indicating a staggering 1100-point gap up, we aren’t just looking at a “strong opening”—we are looking at one of the largest single-day wealth redistributions in the history of the Indian derivatives market.
As we head into the February 4 weekly expiry, the stage is set for a historic “Short Squeeze.”
1. The Derivatives “Trap”: FIIs vs. Retail
The data you provided paints a picture of a massive “Polarity Trap.” Before the trade deal news broke, the “Big Boys” (FIIs) were positioned for a crash, while Retail was betting on a bounce.
The Positioning Heatmap
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