The talks in Islamabad have beguin, according to reports from all sides. Notably, Iran has said it can’t open Hormuz because of mines in the water. The US seems to be calling that bluff as ‘several’ US navy ships passed through. Trump said “We’re now starting the process of clearing out Hormuz”. I wonder if…
SAT: US/Iran Talks SUN: Hungary Election MON: OPEC MOMR (Apr), Chinese M2 Money Supply (Mar), US Existing Home Sales (Mar), US Monthly Budget Statement (Mar) TUE: IEA OMR (Apr), IMF World Economic Outlook Press Briefing (Apr), Chinese Balance of Trade (Mar), Japanese Industrial Production Final (Feb), German Wholesale Prices (Mar), Spanish HICP Final (Mar), US…
The Conservatives would reinstate the two-child benefit cap and use the savings for a wide-ranging spending splurge on defence in what Kemi Badenoch said would be “the biggest peacetime programme of rearmament in our country’s history”. Speaking at a defence conference in London, the Tory leader criticised the government for Britain’s “lack of readiness” for…
If you met Tareena Shakil today, you would have no idea that the person in front of you had served time in prison for terrorism offences and holds the dubious distinction of being the first British woman convicted of joining Islamic State. Now 36, Shakil is glamorous, heavily made-up with long, tousled hair. When we…
EUR/USD’s extended rebound last week suggests that correction from 1.2081 has already completed at 1.1408. Initial bias stays on the upside this week for 61.8% retracement of 1.2081 to 1.1408 at 1.1824. Decisive break there will pave the way to retest 1.2081 high. On the downside, below 1.1642 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral…
USD/JPY stayed in consolidations below 160.45 short term top last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias remains neutral first and further rise is expected with 157.49 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 152.25 to 160.45 at 157.31) intact. On the upside break of 160.45 will target a retest on 161.94 high. However, firm break of…
GBP/USD’s strong rebound last week argues that correction from 1.3867 might have completed at 1.3158 already. But as a temporary top was formed at 1.3483, initial bias is neutral this week first. On the upside, above 1.3483 will target 61.8% retracement of 1.3867 to 1.3158 at 1.3596. Firm break there will bring retest of 1.3867…
USD/CHF extended the pullback from 0.8041 short term top, but failed to sustain below 0.7877 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 0.7603 to 0.8041 at 0.7874). With 4H MACD crossed above signal line, initial bias is turned neutral first. On the downside, sustained trading below 0.7874/7 will argue that the rise from 0.7603 has completed, and…
The lowest-probability scenario activated, five assets moved in the right direction, and one probability lesson will change how we build frameworks going forward. Source link
ING’s Chief Economist for Greater China, Lynn Song, notes that China’s CPI inflation eased to 1.0% year-on-year after Lunar New Year, while PPI turned positive for the first time since 2022. The report highlights rising energy and transportation fuel costs, suggesting further upside for inflation and a gradual shift away from entrenched deflationary expectations in…