Goldman Sachs lowers EUR/HUF forecast on fiscal, inflation outlook

As the XTI/USD chart shows, the price of a barrel has today moved above the highs of 4 and 11 February, rising beyond the $66 level and marking its highest point since the start of the month. Bullish sentiment is being driven by escalating geopolitical tensions, primarily linked to Iran. According to media reports: →…

By Peter Boumgarden, Washington University in St. Louis and Dilawar Syed, The University of Texas at Austin  Imagine it’s April 2025 and you’re the owner of a small but fast-growing e-commerce business. Historically, you’ve sourced products from China, but the president just announced tariffs of 145% on these goods. Do you set up operations in…

USD/CHF’s recovery from 0.7872 extended last week but retreated after hitting 0.7984 minor resistance. Initial bias remains neutral this week first and deeper decline is still in favor. On the downside, below 0.7913 will turn bias to the downside for 0.7872 support, and then 0.7828 low. However, firm break of 0.7984 will suggest that corrective…

Oil has steadily climbed today, though not enough to recoup the losses on Tuesday and Wednesday. WTI crude is up $1.60 to $57.60, which is a nearly 3% gain and comes after yesterday’s decline to the lowest since December 17 and a threat of the five-year low set in December. WTI crude oil, daily It’s…

Prior -0.5%; revised to -0.3% Euro area retail sales were only marginally higher on the month, though it isn’t immediately clear how much of this captures the sales from Black Friday and Cyber Monday. If it doesn’t, then that’s a poor showing and reaffirms softer household spending towards the end of last year. Here’s the…