Second Quarter Euroland GDP Growth and Some Central Bank Rate Announcements – Currency Thoughts

May 2025 in Figures – Currency Thoughts


May 2025 in Figures

May 31, 2025

Net dollar movements in May were inconsequential. The same cannot be said about long-term interest rates. Ten-year sovereign debt yields rose in the United States, Great Britain and Canada but fell in several members of the euro area.

Central Bank interest rates during May were cut by a full percentage point (100 basis points) in Egypt and Pakistan and 50 bps in both Poland and Mexico. Smaller policy rate reductions were made of 10 basis points in China and 25 bps in Iceland, the U.K., South Korea, South Africa, New Zealand, Sri Lanka, Australia, Peru, and Indonesia.

Stock markets had experienced a difficult April, but May saw widespread bounce-backs. The Swiss and British markets remained soft, however.

As in April, Bitcoin’s price rose over 10% last month. Gold slid slightly, while oil moved back above $60 but only barely.

10-Yr Yield 05/30/25 04/30/25 Change in May
U.S. 4.40% 4.15% +25 Basis Points
Germany 2.30% 2.44% -14
Japan 1.48% 1.30% +18
U.K. 4.64% 4.44% +20
Canada 3.20% 3.07% +13
Switzerland 0.20% 0.24% -4
CB Policy Rate 05/30/25 04/30/25 Change in May
Fed funds target 4.25-4.50% 4.25-4.50% 0 Basis Points
ECB deposit rate 2.25% 2.25% 0
BOJ policy rate 0.50% 0.50% 0
BOE Bank Rate 4.25% 4.50% -25
Swiss Policy Rate 0.25% 0.25% 0
FX Rates 05/30/25 04/30/25  Change in $
EUR/USD 1.1348 1.1325 -0.2%
USD/JPY 143.99 142.98 +0.7%
USD/CHF 0.8231 0.8262 -0.4%
GBP/USD 1.3460 1.3328 -1.0%
AUD/USD 0.6435 0.6406 -0.5%
NZD/USD 0.5968 0.5941 -0.5%
USD/CAD 1.3738 1.3786 -0.3%
USD/CNY 7.2196 7.2714 -0.7%
Equities 05/30/25 04/30/25 Change in May
S&P 500 5912 5563 +6.3%
Nasdaq 19114 17446 +9.6%
Djia 42270 40669 +3.9%
Dax 23997 22497 +6.7%
Nikkei 37465 36046 +3.9%
Ftse 8472 8495 -0.3%
Canada TSE 26175 24701 +6.0%
Swiss SMI 12227 12117 +0.9%
Commodities 05/30/25 04/30/25 Change in May
Oil, $ per barrel 60.79 58.21 +4.4%
Gold, $ per ounce

Bitcoin, $

3215.40

104,492

3,303.50

94,370

-2.7%

+10.7%

Copyright Larry Greenberg 2025.  All rights reserved.  No secondary distribution without express permission.

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