by Calculated Risk on 11/14/2024 03:00:00 PM From Fed Chair Powell: Economic Outlook. Excerpt: The recent performance of our economy has been remarkably good, by far the best of any major economy in the world. Economic output grew by more than 3 percent last year and is expanding at a stout 2.5 percent rate so…
by Calculated Risk on 11/14/2024 11:18:00 AM Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: Part 1: Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-November 2024 A brief excerpt: This 2-part overview for mid-October provides a snapshot of the current housing market. I always focus first on inventory, since inventory usually tells the tale!…
by Calculated Risk on 11/13/2024 07:24:00 PM Note: Mortgage rates are from MortgageNewsDaily.com and are for top tier scenarios. Thursday:• At 8:30 AM ET, The initial weekly unemployment claims report will be released. The consensus is for 255 thousand initial claims, up from 221 thousand last week. • Also at 8:30 AM, The Producer Price…
by Calculated Risk on 11/13/2024 03:11:00 PM The Cleveland Fed released the median CPI and the trimmed-mean CPI. According to the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, the median Consumer Price Index rose 0.3% in October. The 16% trimmed-mean Consumer Price Index increased 0.3%. “The median CPI and 16% trimmed-mean CPI are measures of core inflation…
by Calculated Risk on 11/13/2024 07:00:00 AM From the MBA: Mortgage Applications Increase in Latest MBA Weekly Survey Mortgage applications increased 0.5 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending November 8, 2024. The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage…
by Calculated Risk on 11/12/2024 07:46:00 PM Note: Mortgage rates are from MortgageNewsDaily.com and are for top tier scenarios. Wednesday:• At 7:00 AM ET, The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) will release the results for the mortgage purchase applications index. • At 8:30 AM, The Consumer Price Index for October from the BLS. The consensus is…
by Calculated Risk on 11/12/2024 02:00:00 PM From the Federal Reserve: The October 2024 Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey on Bank Lending Practices The October 2024 Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey on Bank Lending Practices (SLOOS) addressed changes in the standards and terms on, and demand for, bank loans to businesses and households over the…
Tuesday: • At 6:00 AM ET, NFIB Small Business Optimism Index for October. • At 2:00 PM, Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey on Bank Lending Practices (SLOOS) for October. Source link
by Calculated Risk on 11/11/2024 02:28:00 PM Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: Watch Months-of-Supply! A brief excerpt: Both inventory and sales are well below pre-pandemic levels, and I think we need to keep an eye on months-of-supply to forecast price changes. Historically nominal prices declined when months-of-supply approached 6 months – and…
by Calculated Risk on 11/11/2024 11:53:00 AM After the election in November 2016, I pointed out that the economy was solid, that there were significant economic tailwinds and that it was unlikely that Mr. Trump would do everything he said during the campaign (emphasis added). See: The Future is still Bright! and The Cupboard is Full….