by Calculated Risk on 9/11/2025 08:30:00 AM The DOL reported: In the week ending September 6, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 263,000, an increase of 27,000 from the previous week’s revised level. This is the highest level for initial claims since October 23, 2021 when it was 268,000. The previous week’s…
Markets climb ahead of crucial inflation report On Tuesday, the MSCI global equity index edged higher, the US dollar strengthened, and Treasury yields moved upward as investors awaited key inflation figures. The cautious optimism followed a significant revision of US employment statistics. Labor market growth revised downward The US Department of Labor announced that for…
by Calculated Risk on 9/10/2025 08:11:00 PM Note: Mortgage rates are from MortgageNewsDaily.com and are for top tier scenarios. Thursday:• At 8:30 AM ET, The initial weekly unemployment claims report will be released. The consensus is for initial claims to increase to 240 thousand from 237 thousand last week. • Also at 8:30 AM, The…
by Calculated Risk on 9/10/2025 12:47:00 PM From Cotality (formerly CoreLogic): US home price insights — September 2025 The 2025 spring homebuyers season ended softly, with slower price growth dominating the narrative and potentially opening the door to more buyers. • Year-over-year price growth dipped to 1.4% in July 2025. This is almost half the…
by Calculated Risk on 9/10/2025 10:19:00 AM Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: Part 1: Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-September 2025 A brief excerpt: This 2-part overview for mid-September provides a snapshot of the current housing market. The key stories this year for existing homes are that inventory increased…
by Calculated Risk on 9/09/2025 08:16:00 PM Note: Mortgage rates are from MortgageNewsDaily.com and are for top tier scenarios. Wednesday:• At 7:00 AM ET, The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) will release the results for the mortgage purchase applications index. • At 8:30 AM, The Producer Price Index for August from the BLS. The consensus is…
by Calculated Risk on 9/09/2025 01:01:00 PM The Consumer Price Index for August is scheduled to be released on Thursday, September 11th. The consensus is for a 0.3% increase in CPI, and a 0.3% increase in core CPI. The consensus is for CPI to be up 2.9% year-over-year (up from 2.7% in July) and core…
by Calculated Risk on 9/09/2025 10:00:00 AM From the BLS: Current Employment Statistics Preliminary Benchmark (National) Summary The preliminary estimate of the Current Employment Statistics (CES) national benchmark revision to total nonfarm employment for March 2025 is -911,000 (-0.6 percent), the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. The annual benchmark revisions over the last…
by Calculated Risk on 9/08/2025 08:09:00 PM From Matthew Graham at Mortgage News Daily: Another 11-Month Low For Rates, But Just Barely To their credit, most mortgage lenders did an admirable job of aggressively pricing-in the bond market rally after last Friday’s jobs report. Many mortgage market pros repeat the phrase “stairs down, escalator up”…
The main factor for investors will be US inflation data, which may influence the Fed’s rate decision. Attention will also be focused on Oracle’s reporting, political events in France, the ECB meeting, and statistics from China. 1. Inflation in the USA On Thursday, data on the consumer price index for August will be released. An…