by Calculated Risk on 12/24/2025 11:28:00 AM Today, in the CalculatedRisk Real Estate Newsletter: Question #9 for 2026: What will happen with house prices in 2026? Excerpt: Earlier I posted some questions on my blog for next year: Ten Economic Questions for 2026. Some of these questions concern real estate (inventory, house prices, housing starts,…
by Calculated Risk on 12/24/2025 08:30:00 AM The DOL reported: In the week ending December 20, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 214,000, a decrease of 10,000 from the previous week’s unrevised level of 224,000. The 4-week moving average was 216,750, a decrease of 750 from the previous week’s unrevised average of…
by Calculated Risk on 12/24/2025 07:00:00 AM From the MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest MBA Weekly Survey ortgage applications decreased 5.0 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending December 19, 2025. The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage…
by Calculated Risk on 12/23/2025 07:36:00 PM Note: Mortgage rates are from MortgageNewsDaily.com and are for top tier scenarios. Wednesday:• At 7:00 AM ET, The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) will release the results for the mortgage purchase applications index. • At 8:30 AM, The initial weekly unemployment claims report will be released. The consensus is…
by Calculated Risk on 12/23/2025 02:39:00 PM From Intercontinental Exchange: ICE First Look at Mortgage Performance: Seasonal and Calendar Factors Drive Rise in November Delinquencies Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. (NYSE:ICE) … today released the November 2025 ICE First Look at mortgage delinquency, foreclosure and prepayment trends. “While the topline delinquency numbers show a sharp increase, we’ve…
by Calculated Risk on 12/23/2025 11:14:00 AM Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: Final Look at Housing Markets in November and a Look Ahead to December Sales A brief excerpt: After the National Association of Realtors® (NAR) releases the monthly existing home sales report, I pick up additional local market data that is…
by Calculated Risk on 12/23/2025 09:15:00 AM From the Fed: Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization This release includes preliminary estimates for industrial production (IP) and capacity utilization for both October and November as well as revised estimates for May through September. IP rose 0.2 percent in November after ticking down 0.1 percent in October. On…
by Calculated Risk on 12/23/2025 08:30:00 AM From the BEA: Gross Domestic Product, 3rd Quarter 2025 (Initial Estimate) and Corporate Profits (Preliminary) Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 4.3 percent in the third quarter of 2025 (July, August, and September), according to the initial estimate released by the U.S. Bureau…
by Calculated Risk on 12/22/2025 07:11:00 PM From Matthew Graham at Mortgage News Daily: Mortgage Rates Hold Steady to Start Holiday-Shortened Week Mortgage rates are tied to movement in the bond market and bonds were close enough to Friday’s levels that mortgage rates were essentially unchanged today. This keeps the average lender in the lower…
by Calculated Risk on 12/22/2025 11:00:00 AM Today, in the CalculatedRisk Real Estate Newsletter: Question #10 for 2026: Will inventory increase further in 2026? Excerpt: Earlier I posted some questions on my blog for next year: Ten Economic Questions for 2026. Some of these questions concern real estate (inventory, house prices, housing starts, new home…