Comment on FOMC Minutes from October 28-29 Meeting November 19, 2025 This was the FOMC meeting at which, according to Chairman Jerome Powell, strongly variant opinions emerged regarding the appropriate future monetary policy. The minutes state the obvious dilemma caused by a) U.S. inflation picking up earlier this year and still remaining more elevated than…
Icelandic Central Bank Rate Cut November 19, 2025 A 25-basis point cut in the Bank of Iceland‘s 7-day term rate today to 7.25% had not been expected by analysts. That was the fourth reduction this year and follows two cuts in the final quarter of 2024. Altogether, the rate has dropped two percentage points from…
Sino-Japanese Geopolitical Tensions Reflected in Weak Yen and Nikkei Losses November 19, 2025 Ramifications continued on Wednesday from Prime Minister Takaichi’s parliamentary comment that Chinese steps to seize control of Taiwan could elicit a military response from Japan. That insinuation during a Q&A session led to a forceful verbal response from Beijing officials. The yen…
Look Out Below! November 18, 2025 A plunge of as much as 29.2% in the price of Bitcoin from its early October high of $126,250 six weeks ago to today’s intra-day low of $89,369 this Tuesday reflects the spoils of a tariff policy gone bad, mounting unease over the equity bubble surrounding artificial intelligence, and…
Some Bottom-Fishing while Awaiting Delayed U.S. Data November 17, 2025 (165) Monday saw a tentative and partial reversal of sharp financial market movements last week. The price of Bitcoin rebounded 1.2%. Ten-year sovereign debt yields have settled back four basis points in Italy, three bps in the United States, Spain and Great Britain, and two…
Next Week’s Menu: November 15 – 21, 2025 November 14, 2025 Central Banks: Monetary policy stances will be reviewed in Jamaica, South Africa, China, Hungary, Indonesia and Iceland. Minutes from the October FOMC meeting will be published, and Williams, Logan, Goolsbee, Kashkari are among the Federal Reserve officials whose public remarks may create headlines. Mann,…
Widely Shared Big Losses November 14, 2025 Yesterday’s stock market sell-off has extended into Friday. One catalyst was the Trump administration’s suggestion that some key data points not collected during the federal shutdown may never be known. This surprise dropped on an investment community already showing rising concern that equity values, especially among in the…
Read It Once, and It’s Memorized November 13, 2025 As a slogan designed to resonate with frustrated residents in the United States, MAGA is an amazingly effective political hook. Just four words long — Make America Great Again — captures the American Dream of betterment, with each generation pushing closer to fulfilling the unalienable rights…
First Day After Shutdown Ends Sees a Softer Dollar and Fresh Uncertainties November 13, 2025 America’s longest federal government shutdown, 43 days in duration, ended last night, only to leave fresh uncertainties in its wake such as the times when many delayed U.S. data reports get released, what such will show, what now happens to…
Dollar and Bond Yields Mixed Equities Mostly Gain November 12, 2025 The U.S. stock market weathered the record long federal shutdown with surprising resilience and is now rising as the shutdown’s end approaches. The House of Representatives is expected to approve the funding extension today, after which the bill will go to the president to…