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Oil and gas prices shoot up, upending rate cut bets as inflation fears return. Stocks tumble amid surging bond yields and stagflation risks. Markets increasingly price in a prolonged Iran conflict. Did Trump just shoot himself and the US economy in the foot? Back to the 1970s It’s only been a few years since Russia’s…
US GDP and PCE inflation are main highlights, plus the Fed minutes. UK and Japan have busy calendars too with focus on CPI. Flash PMIs for February will also be doing the rounds. RBNZ meets, is unlikely to follow RBA’s hawkish path. Dovish Fed bets suffer a fresh blow The US jobs report for January,…
Dollar found a modest bid early in the U.S. session after weekly jobless claims came in better than expected, offering a brief reminder that U.S. labor market conditions remain relatively resilient. The reaction, however, was restrained, and the greenback failed to generate meaningful follow-through. That muted response highlights the broader backdrop. Dollar remains the weakest…
NZD/USD is currently the standout performer of the week, rising around 1.5% and outperforming most major peers. The pair is extending its rebound from the November low, with momentum indicators pointing to an upside re-acceleration phase rather than a fading corrective bounce. Continued gains would reinforce the case that NZD/USD is already reversing the broader…
Week in review – Were the past few weeks just a farce? Markets rebounded as if nothing happened – Nvidia (NVDA) earnings came to save the trend as the narrative was switching to a general AI-Bubble scare. The earnings brought back confidence into the Market, and this feeling got exacerbated by a brand new dovish…
Week in review – Markets remain very anxious This week finally saw the US government reopen after the longest ever government shutdown, which lasted 43 days. News of the deal initially brought a much-needed rally in stocks on Monday, but throughout the week, markets have been plagued by sudden selloffs without much explanation. NOTE: The…
It was another volatile week in global markets, defined less by fresh data and more by the growing weight of unresolved macro risks. With the U.S. government still in shutdown and a raft of key economic reports missing, investors were left to trade sentiment rather than facts — and sentiment turned sharply negative mid-week. The…
New Zealand recorded another sizeable trade deficit in September 2025, as import growth outstripped exports despite solid overseas demand. Statistics NZ data showed goods exports rose 19% yoy to NZD 5.8B. Imports increased 1.6% yoy to NZD 7.2B. The result was a monthly deficit of NZD -1.4B, versus expectation of NZD -6B and prior month’s…
New Zealand’s BNZ Performance of Manufacturing Index held steady at 49.9 in September, marking another month of contraction and remaining below its long-term average of 52.4. The data highlighted a mixed picture across key components — production edged up from 47.8 to 50.1, barely returning to expansion, while employment dropped from 49.1 to 47.5, weighing…