by Calculated Risk on 9/28/2024 08:11:00 AM The key report scheduled for this week is the September employment report on Friday. Other key indicators include the September ISM Manufacturing and Services indices and September auto sales. —– Monday, September 30th —– 10:30 AM: Dallas Fed Survey of Manufacturing Activity for September. 9:45 AM: Chicago Purchasing…
by Calculated Risk on 9/27/2024 07:20:00 PM Note: Mortgage rates are from MortgageNewsDaily.com and are for top tier scenarios. For deaths, I’m currently using 4 weeks ago for “now”, since the most recent three weeks will be revised significantly. Note: “Effective May 1, 2024, hospitals are no longer required to report COVID-19 hospital admissions, hospital…
by Calculated Risk on 9/27/2024 05:32:00 PM Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: Fannie and Freddie: Single Family Serious Delinquency Rate Ticked Up in August Brief excerpt: Single-family serious delinquencies increased slightly in August, and multi-family serious delinquencies decreased slightly.…Freddie Mac reports that the multi-family delinquencies rate decreased to 0.38% in August, down…
Several cities in Florida are now seeing year-over-year price declines (as inventory surges). • Home prices continued to cool in August, with prices up +3.0% from the same time last year according to the ICE Home Price Index, marking the slowest rate of home price growth in over a year • On an adjusted basis…
by Calculated Risk on 9/27/2024 10:50:00 AM From BofA: Since our last weekly publication, our 3Q GDP tracking estimate is down two-tenths to 2.3% q/q saar while 2Q GDP came in at 3.0% q/q saar in the final official estimate. [Sept 27th estimate]emphasis added From Goldman: The details of yesterday’s durable goods report and this…
by Calculated Risk on 9/27/2024 09:15:00 AM Here is a graph of the year-over-year change in shelter from the CPI report and housing from the PCE report this morning, both through August 2024. CPI Shelter was up 5.2% year-over-year in August, up from 5.0 in July, and down from the cycle peak of 8.2% in…
by Calculated Risk on 9/26/2024 08:21:00 PM Note: Mortgage rates are from MortgageNewsDaily.com and are for top tier scenarios. Thursday:• At 8:30 AM ET Personal Income and Outlays, August 2024. The consensus is for a 0.4% increase in personal income, and for a 0.3% increase in personal spending. And for the Core PCE price index to…
by Calculated Risk on 9/26/2024 04:19:00 PM From WardsAuto: September U.S. Light-Vehicle Sales Forecast for 9-Month-High SAAR Despite Drop in Volume (pay content). Brief excerpt: If September’s outlook holds true, Q3 sales will decline 1.8% year-over-year. However, deliveries in October-December, goosed by two additional selling days vs. the year-ago period, are forecast to rise 7.4%…
by Calculated Risk on 9/26/2024 10:00:00 AM From the NAR: Pending Home Sales Edged Up 0.6% in August Pending home sales in August rose 0.6%, according to the National Association of REALTORS®. The Midwest, South and West posted monthly gains in transactions, while the Northeast recorded a loss. Year-over-year, the West registered growth, but the…
by Calculated Risk on 9/25/2024 07:13:00 PM Note: Mortgage rates are from MortgageNewsDaily.com and are for top tier scenarios. Thursday:• At 8:30 AM ET, The initial weekly unemployment claims report will be released. The consensus is for 226 thousand initial claims, up from 219 thousand last week. • Also at 8:30 AM, Gross Domestic Product,…