by Calculated Risk on 9/12/2025 08:14:00 AM The BLS reported yesterday: The Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (CPI-W) increased 2.8 percent over the last 12 months to an index level of 317.306 (1982-84=100). For the month, the index increased 0.3 percent prior to seasonal adjustment. CPI-W is the index that is…
Note: Mortgage rates are from MortgageNewsDaily.com and are for top tier scenarios. Friday: • At 10:00 AM, University of Michigan’s Consumer sentiment index (Preliminary for September). Source link
by Calculated Risk on 9/11/2025 02:46:00 PM Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: The “Home ATM” Mostly Closed in Q2 A brief excerpt: During the housing bubble, many homeowners borrowed heavily against their perceived home equity – jokingly calling it the “Home ATM” – and this contributed to the subsequent housing bust, since…
by Calculated Risk on 9/11/2025 02:00:00 PM The Federal Reserve released the Q2 2025 Flow of Funds report today: Financial Accounts of the United States. The net worth of households and nonprofits rose to $176.3 trillion during the second quarter of 2025. The value of directly and indirectly held corporate equities increased $5.5 trillion and…
by Calculated Risk on 9/11/2025 11:26:00 AM The Cleveland Fed released the median CPI and the trimmed-mean CPI. According to the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, the median Consumer Price Index rose 0.3% in August. The 16% trimmed-mean Consumer Price Index increased 0.3%. “The median CPI and 16% trimmed-mean CPI are measures of core inflation…
by Calculated Risk on 9/11/2025 08:54:00 AM Here are a few measures of inflation: The first graph is the one Fed Chair Powell had mentioned two years ago as something to watch. Click on graph for larger image. This graph shows the YoY price change for Services and Services less rent of shelter through August…
by Calculated Risk on 9/11/2025 08:35:00 AM From the BLS: The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased 0.4 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis in August, after rising 0.2 percent in July, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months, the all items index increased 2.9 percent…
by Calculated Risk on 9/11/2025 08:30:00 AM The DOL reported: In the week ending September 6, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 263,000, an increase of 27,000 from the previous week’s revised level. This is the highest level for initial claims since October 23, 2021 when it was 268,000. The previous week’s…
by Calculated Risk on 9/10/2025 08:11:00 PM Note: Mortgage rates are from MortgageNewsDaily.com and are for top tier scenarios. Thursday:• At 8:30 AM ET, The initial weekly unemployment claims report will be released. The consensus is for initial claims to increase to 240 thousand from 237 thousand last week. • Also at 8:30 AM, The…
by Calculated Risk on 9/10/2025 12:47:00 PM From Cotality (formerly CoreLogic): US home price insights — September 2025 The 2025 spring homebuyers season ended softly, with slower price growth dominating the narrative and potentially opening the door to more buyers. • Year-over-year price growth dipped to 1.4% in July 2025. This is almost half the…