by Calculated Risk on 7/25/2025 02:01:00 PM The advance estimate of Q2 GDP will be released next Wednesday. The consensus is real GDP increased at a 2.5% annual rate in Q2. BofA economists noted this morning: “The increase in the headline print would be on the back of a reversal of the surge in imports…
by Calculated Risk on 7/25/2025 10:56:00 AM Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: Final Look at Local Housing Markets in June and a Look Ahead to July Sales A brief excerpt: After the National Association of Realtors® (NAR) releases the monthly existing home sales report, I pick up additional local market data that…
by Calculated Risk on 7/25/2025 08:11:00 AM The U.S. hotel industry reported negative year-over-year comparisons, according to CoStar’s latest data through 19 July. … 13-19 July 2025 (percentage change from comparable week in 2024): • Occupancy: 71.6% (-2.6%)• Average daily rate (ADR): US$165.49 (-0.7%)• Revenue per available room (RevPAR): US$118.54 (-3.3%) emphasis added The following…
by Calculated Risk on 7/24/2025 07:54:00 PM Note: Mortgage rates are from MortgageNewsDaily.com and are for top tier scenarios. Friday:• At 8:30 AM ET,Durable Goods Orders for June from the Census Bureau. The consensus is for a 10.0% decrease in durable goods orders. Source link
by Calculated Risk on 7/24/2025 04:21:00 PM From J.D. Power: New-Vehicle Retail Sales Up 4.1% for July and Consumer Spending Sets Record for Month with $49.8 Billion Spent on New Vehicles Brief excerpt: The seasonally adjusted annualized rate (SAAR) for total new-vehicle sales is expected to be 16.4 million units, up 0.8 million units from…
by Calculated Risk on 7/24/2025 02:12:00 PM From Intercontinental Exchange: ICE First Look at Mortgage Performance: Delinquencies Trend Slightly Higher in June as Foreclosure Activity Continues to Rise off Pandemic-Era Lows Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. (NYSE:ICE) … today released its June 2025 ICE First Look, which shows that while overall mortgage payment performance remains strong, delinquencies…
by Calculated Risk on 7/24/2025 10:49:00 AM Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: New Home Sales Increase to 627,000 Annual Rate in June Brief excerpt: The Census Bureau reported New Home Sales in June were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR) of 627 thousand. The previous three months were revised down, combined.…The…
by Calculated Risk on 7/24/2025 10:00:00 AM The Census Bureau reports New Home Sales in June were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR) of 627 thousand. The previous three months were revised down, combined. Sales of new single-family houses in June 2025 were at a seasonally-adjusted annual rate of 627,000, according to estimates released…
by Calculated Risk on 7/24/2025 08:30:00 AM The DOL reported: In the week ending July 19, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 217,000, a decrease of 4,000 from the previous week’s unrevised level of 221,000. The 4-week moving average was 224,500, a decrease of 5,000 from the previous week’s unrevised average of…
by Calculated Risk on 7/23/2025 07:53:00 PM Note: Mortgage rates are from MortgageNewsDaily.com and are for top tier scenarios. Thursday:• At 8:30 AM, The initial weekly unemployment claims report will be released. The consensus is for initial claims to increase to 230 thousand from 221 thousand last week. • Also t 8:30 AM, Chicago Fed…